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Match statistics: Estrela - Tondela
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 23
20:45, February 20, 2026
Estrela
0
:
2
First half 0:1
Tondela
Match finished
1
2.64
X
2.98
2
2.8
Math prediction: 1X — 1.42
(penalty)
Bebeto
4'
41'
G. Doue
61'
P. Moreira
J. Hodge
62'
S. Sithole
69'
Pedro Maranhao
75'
Cicero
77'
B. Medina
87'
90+5'
Luan Patrick
Match prediction Estrela - Tondela
Match outcome
Estrela
Estrela
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
55%
Total Under 3.5
68%
Home goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Tondela
Tondela
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Estrela Estrela
Tondela Tondela
Estrela Estrela   power × 1.06 times greater   51.5%
Teams even at power
Tondela Tondela   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Estrela Estrela
Tondela Tondela
Recent form
57%
43%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
65%
35%
Team power
51.5%
48.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 23
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
11
Estrela Estrela
22
5
8
9
23
34.85%
26:39
-13
L
W
D
L
L
2.95
1.18
1.77
77%
55%
41%
17
Tondela Tondela
22
3
6
13
15
22.73%
15:36
-21
D
D
D
L
L
2.32
0.68
1.64
64%
55%
23%
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
22
games
5
wins
23%
8
draws
36%
9
losses
41%
1.05
Points per game
23 (34.85%)
Total points
Home games
11
games
3
wins
27%
4
draws
36%
4
losses
36%
1.18
Points per game
13 (39.39%)
Total points
Tondela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
22
games
3
wins
14%
6
draws
27%
13
losses
59%
0.68
Points per game
15 (22.73%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
2
wins
18%
2
draws
18%
7
losses
64%
0.73
Points per game
8 (24.24%)
Total points
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-03
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
SC Braga SC Braga
3
3
1
1
D
2026-01-19
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Estoril Estoril
0
5
0
1
L
2026-01-25
Primeira Liga
Benfica Benfica
Estrela Estrela
4
0
1
0
L
2026-01-31
Primeira Liga
Alverca Alverca
Estrela Estrela
1
1
0
0
D
2026-02-07
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Santa Clara Santa Clara
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-02-14
Primeira Liga
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
Estrela Estrela
2
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 2.67
Tondela
Tondela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-11
Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
Tondela Tondela
1
0
0
0
L
2026-01-18
Primeira Liga
Tondela Tondela
SC Braga SC Braga
0
1
0
0
L
2026-01-25
Primeira Liga
Famalicao Famalicao
Tondela Tondela
3
0
1
0
L
2026-02-01
Primeira Liga
Tondela Tondela
Benfica Benfica
0
0
0
0
D
2026-02-07
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Tondela Tondela
2
2
2
2
D
2026-02-13
Primeira Liga
Tondela Tondela
Alverca Alverca
1
1
0
1
D
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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