EN
Match statistics: Watford - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 33
15:00, February 21, 2026
Watford
2
:
0
First half 1:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3.3
2
3.25
Math prediction: X2 — 1.63
5'
L. Kjerrumgaard
M. Clarke
23'
52'
G. Chakvetadze
C. Elder
55'
83'
M. Doumbia
90'
M. Doumbia
(M. Bola)
Match prediction Watford - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
49%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Watford
Watford
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Watford Watford
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.53 times greater   60.4%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   79%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   60%
Team comparison
Watford Watford
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
23%
77%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
71%
29%
Poisson distribution [1]
43%
57%
Team power
39.6%
60.4%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 33
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Derby County Derby County
32
13
9
10
48
50%
47:39
+8
W
L
W
D
W
2.69
1.47
1.22
78%
50%
22%
12
Watford Watford
32
11
12
9
45
46.88%
41:38
+3
D
L
D
L
D
2.47
1.28
1.19
75%
47%
22%
Watford
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
32
games
11
wins
34%
12
draws
38%
9
losses
28%
1.41
Points per game
45 (46.88%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
8
wins
50%
5
draws
31%
3
losses
19%
1.81
Points per game
29 (60.42%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
32
games
13
wins
41%
9
draws
28%
10
losses
31%
1.5
Points per game
48 (50%)
Total points
Away games
15
games
8
wins
53%
3
draws
20%
4
losses
27%
1.8
Points per game
27 (60%)
Total points
Watford
Watford
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
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Preston North End Preston North End
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2
2
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0
D
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 0.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
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Preston North End Preston North End
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2026-01-20
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Derby County Derby County
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-01-23
Championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
1
1
1
0
D
2026-01-30
Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 5
0
3
W
2026-02-07
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
1
2
0
1
L
2026-02-14
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Swansea City Swansea City
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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