EN
Match statistics: Burnley - Brentford
England / Premier League - Round 28
15:00, February 28, 2026
Burnley
3
:
4
First half 1:3
Brentford
Match finished
1
4.65
X
3.75
2
1.7
Math prediction: X2 — 1.18
(D. Ouattara)
M. Damsgaard
9'
(M. Damsgaard)
I. Thiago
25'
K. Schade
34'
45+3'
M. Kayode
(own goal)
47'
J. Anthony
(H. Mejbri)
60'
Z. Flemming
(H. Mejbri)
I. Thiago
77'
86'
B. Humphreys
(R. Henry)
M. Damsgaard
90+3'
Y. Yarmolyuk
90+10'
90+11'
L. Foster
Match prediction Burnley - Brentford
Match outcome
Brentford
Brentford
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
63%
Home goals prediction
Burnley
Burnley
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Brentford
Brentford
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Burnley Burnley
Brentford Brentford
Brentford Brentford   power × 1.33 times greater   57.2%
Burnley Burnley   better at attack   55%
Brentford Brentford   better at defence   59%
Team comparison
Burnley Burnley
Brentford Brentford
Recent form
42%
58%
H2H strength
40%
60%
Goal realization
38%
63%
Poisson distribution [1]
42%
58%
Team power
43%
57.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premier League - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
7
Brentford Brentford
27
12
4
11
40
49.38%
40:37
+3
L
D
W
W
L
2.85
1.48
1.37
85%
48%
37%
19
Burnley Burnley
27
4
7
16
19
23.46%
29:52
-23
D
W
L
L
D
3
1.07
1.93
89%
52%
37%
Burnley
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
27
games
4
wins
15%
7
draws
26%
16
losses
59%
0.7
Points per game
19 (23.46%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
2
wins
15%
4
draws
31%
7
losses
54%
0.77
Points per game
10 (25.64%)
Total points
Brentford
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
27
games
12
wins
44%
4
draws
15%
11
losses
41%
1.48
Points per game
40 (49.38%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
5
wins
38%
0
draws
0%
8
losses
62%
1.15
Points per game
15 (38.46%)
Total points
Burnley
Burnley
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-17
Premier League
Liverpool Liverpool
Burnley Burnley
1
1
1
0
D
2026-01-24
Premier League
Burnley Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
2
2
1
1
D
2026-02-02
Premier League
Sunderland Sunderland
Burnley Burnley
3
0
2
0
L
2026-02-07
Premier League
Burnley Burnley
West Ham West Ham
0
2
0
2
L
2026-02-11
Premier League
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Burnley Burnley
2
▸ 3
2
3
W
2026-02-21
Premier League
Chelsea Chelsea
Burnley Burnley
1
1
1
0
D
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 2.17
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
Brentford
Brentford
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-01-17
Premier League
Chelsea Chelsea
Brentford Brentford
2
0
1
0
L
2026-01-25
Premier League
Brentford Brentford
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
0
2
0
1
L
2026-02-01
Premier League
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Brentford Brentford
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-02-07
Premier League
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Brentford Brentford
2
▸ 3
1
2
W
2026-02-12
Premier League
Brentford Brentford
Arsenal Arsenal
1
1
0
0
D
2026-02-21
Premier League
Brentford Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion
0
2
0
2
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1
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