EN
Match statistics: Millwall - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 37
19:45, March 10, 2026
Millwall
1
:
0
First half 1:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
1.95
X
3.35
2
3.9
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
43'
J. Coburn
(T. Crama)
B. Clark
55'
D. Sanderson
58'
C. Morris
61'
Match prediction Millwall - Derby County
Match outcome
Millwall
Millwall
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
52%
Total Under 3.5
75%
Home goals prediction
Millwall
Millwall
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
Millwall Millwall   power × 1.45 times greater   59.2%
Millwall Millwall   better at attack   55%
Millwall Millwall   better at defence   62%
Team comparison
Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
57%
43%
H2H strength
75%
25%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
46%
54%
Team power
59.2%
40.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 37
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
Millwall Millwall
36
19
8
9
65
60.19%
50:41
+9
W
W
W
L
W
2.53
1.39
1.14
81%
50%
25%
7
Derby County Derby County
36
15
9
12
54
50%
54:47
+7
W
W
L
L
W
2.81
1.5
1.31
81%
53%
25%
Millwall
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
36
games
19
wins
53%
8
draws
22%
9
losses
25%
1.81
Points per game
65 (60.19%)
Total points
Home games
18
games
10
wins
56%
3
draws
17%
5
losses
28%
1.83
Points per game
33 (61.11%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
36
games
15
wins
42%
9
draws
25%
12
losses
33%
1.5
Points per game
54 (50%)
Total points
Away games
17
games
8
wins
47%
3
draws
18%
6
losses
35%
1.59
Points per game
27 (52.94%)
Total points
Millwall
Millwall
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
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Millwall Millwall
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▸ 3
1
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Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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Derby County Derby County
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1
2
0
1
L
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Derby County Derby County
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▸ 2
0
0
0
W
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Derby County Derby County
2
0
1
0
L
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Hull City Hull City
Derby County Derby County
4
2
2
2
L
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Derby County Derby County
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 3
1
0
1
W
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Championship
Derby County Derby County
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▸ 2
1
2
1
W
Goals per match: 3.33
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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