EN
Match statistics: Portsmouth - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 38
20:00, March 16, 2026
Portsmouth
0
:
1
First half 0:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3.1
2
3.3
Math prediction: X2 — 1.67
S. Szmodics
8'
40'
C. Chaplin
S. Szmodics
41'
M. Clarke
53'
67'
J. Swift
B. Brereton Diaz
78'
B. Clark
86'
J. Ward
88'
O. Fraulo
90+2'
Match prediction Portsmouth - Derby County
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
48%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby County Derby County
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.33 times greater   57.2%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   54%
Portsmouth Portsmouth   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
40%
60%
H2H strength
36%
64%
Goal realization
38%
63%
Poisson distribution [1]
42%
58%
Team power
43%
57.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 38
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
8
Derby County Derby County
37
15
9
13
54
48.65%
54:48
+6
L
W
W
L
L
2.76
1.46
1.3
78%
51%
24%
20
Portsmouth Portsmouth
36
10
10
16
40
37.04%
36:47
-11
L
D
L
L
W
2.31
1
1.31
67%
44%
19%
Portsmouth
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
36
games
10
wins
28%
10
draws
28%
16
losses
44%
1.11
Points per game
40 (37.04%)
Total points
Home games
18
games
6
wins
33%
4
draws
22%
8
losses
44%
1.22
Points per game
22 (40.74%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
37
games
15
wins
41%
9
draws
24%
13
losses
35%
1.46
Points per game
54 (48.65%)
Total points
Away games
18
games
8
wins
44%
3
draws
17%
7
losses
39%
1.5
Points per game
27 (50%)
Total points
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-17
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1
▸ 3
0
2
W
2026-02-21
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Portsmouth Portsmouth
1
▸ 3
0
0
W
2026-02-24
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Wrexham Wrexham
Portsmouth Portsmouth
2
1
2
0
L
2026-02-28
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Portsmouth Portsmouth
Hull City Hull City
0
1
0
0
L
2026-03-07
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Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Portsmouth Portsmouth
1
1
0
0
D
2026-03-10
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Swansea City Swansea City
1
2
0
2
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-14
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Swansea City Swansea City
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2026-02-21
Championship
Watford Watford
Derby County Derby County
2
0
1
0
L
2026-02-24
Championship
Hull City Hull City
Derby County Derby County
4
2
2
2
L
2026-02-28
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
▸ 3
1
0
1
W
2026-03-07
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
2026-03-10
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
1
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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