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Match statistics: Derby County - Birmingham City
England / Championship - Round 39
12:30, March 21, 2026
Derby County
1
:
0
First half 1:0
Birmingham City
Match finished
1
2.7
X
3.3
2
2.52
Math prediction: 1X — 1.5
I. Osman
32'
43'
R. Brewster
(D. Murkin)
J. Panzo
48'
70'
P. Agyemang
J. Robinson
87'
J. E. Solis Romero
90+2'
Match prediction Derby County - Birmingham City
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
49%
Total Under 3.5
77%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.4 times greater   58.3%
Derby County Derby County   better at attack   73%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   53%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Recent form
69%
31%
H2H strength
38%
62%
Goal realization
53%
47%
Poisson distribution [1]
64%
36%
Team power
58.3%
41.7%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 39
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
8
Derby County Derby County
38
16
9
13
57
50%
55:48
+7
W
L
W
W
L
2.71
1.45
1.26
76%
50%
24%
10
Birmingham City Birmingham City
38
14
11
13
53
46.49%
48:48
0
D
W
L
L
L
2.53
1.26
1.26
79%
47%
21%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
38
games
16
wins
42%
9
draws
24%
13
losses
34%
1.5
Points per game
57 (50%)
Total points
Home games
19
games
7
wins
37%
6
draws
32%
6
losses
32%
1.42
Points per game
27 (47.37%)
Total points
Birmingham City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
38
games
14
wins
37%
11
draws
29%
13
losses
34%
1.39
Points per game
53 (46.49%)
Total points
Away games
19
games
5
wins
26%
3
draws
16%
11
losses
58%
0.95
Points per game
18 (31.58%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
0
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Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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Birmingham City Birmingham City
1
▸ 2
0
2
W
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Birmingham City Birmingham City
3
0
2
0
L
2026-03-02
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
3
0
2
L
2026-03-07
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Birmingham City Birmingham City
1
0
0
0
L
2026-03-11
Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
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Championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
1
1
1
1
D
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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