2026-03-29 Rodina Moscow - Ural match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Rodina Moscow - Ural

Rodina Moscow

Russia / First League - Round 26

16:00, March 29, 2026

Ural

2.3

3.22

2.99

1.35

1.56

Math prediction: 1X — 1.35

Match prediction Rodina Moscow - Ural

Match outcome

Rodina Moscow

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.4

2.5+

36%

-3.5

80%

xG for the team (Home)

Rodina Moscow

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

Ural

expected 0 - 1 goal

Trends

Outcomes

Rodina Moscow hasn't any defeat 14 matches in a row, 7 of them at home

Rodina Moscow hasn't any win the 2nd half 5 matches in the row, 5 of them home

Rodina Moscow hasn't any defeat the 1st half 10 matches in a row, 5 of them home

Ural hasn't any defeat the 2nd half 5 matches in a row, 3 of them away

Goals

Rodina Moscow in 20 of 25 matches has played over 1.5

Rodina Moscow in 20 of 25 matches has played under 3.5

Ural in 19 of 23 matches has played under 3.5

Tournament chart

Rodina Moscow

Ural

Rodina Moscow power × 1.48 times greater 59.7%

Rodina Moscow better at attack 69%

Rodina Moscow better at defence 55%

Team comparison

Rodina Moscow

Ural

Recent form

69%

31%

H2H strength

50%

Goal realization

50%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

65%

35%

Team power

59.7%

40.3%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: First League - Round 26

Rodina Moscow

61.33%

39:21

+18

2.4

1.56

0.84

80%

40%

20%

Ural

60%

35:24

+11

2.36

1.4

0.96

68%

32%

20%

Rodina Moscow

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

48%

draws

40%

losses

12%

games

wins

54%

draws

38%

losses

Ural

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

52%

draws

24%

losses

24%

games

wins

46%

draws

23%

losses

31%

1.62

Points per game

21 (53.85%)

Total points

Rodina Moscow

Latest six matches

Latest form:

good

2025-11-23

First League

Enisey

Rodina Moscow

2025-12-01

First League

Rodina Moscow

KAMAZ

2026-03-02

First League

Rodina Moscow

Shinnik Yaroslavl

▸ 2

2026-03-08

First League

Torpedo Moscow

Rodina Moscow

▸ 2

2026-03-14

First League

SKA-Khabarovsk

Rodina Moscow

2026-03-23

First League

Rodina Moscow

Chayka

▸ 5

Goals per match: 2.67

Goals 1st time: 1.67

Goals 2nd time: 1

Ural

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2025-11-22

First League

Ural

Spartak Kostroma

2025-11-29

First League

Volga Ulyanovsk

Ural

2026-02-27

First League

Fakel Voronezh

Ural

2026-03-09

First League

Rotor Volgograd

Ural

2026-03-15

First League

Ural

Arsenal Tula

▸ 2

2026-03-22

First League

Ural

Enisey

Goals per match: 2.17

Goals 1st time: 0.83

Goals 2nd time: 1.33

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