EN
Match statistics: Nacional - Estrela
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 28
14:30, April 04, 2026
Nacional
2
:
0
First half 1:0
Estrela
Match finished
1
2.08
X
3.45
2
3.35
Math prediction: X2 — 1.7
Luan Patrick
1'
2'
J. Ramirez
Rodrigo Pinho
16'
45+3'
Leo Santos
71'
Paulinho Boia
(Leo Santos)
78'
A. Nunez
J. Encada
81'
86'
Daniel Junior
90+6'
Paulinho Boia
Match prediction Nacional - Estrela
Match outcome
Estrela
Estrela
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
52%
Total Under 3.5
68%
Home goals prediction
Nacional
Nacional
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Estrela
Estrela
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela
Estrela Estrela   power × 2.08 times greater   67.5%
Estrela Estrela   better at attack   78%
Estrela Estrela   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Nacional Nacional
Estrela Estrela
Recent form
17%
83%
H2H strength
29%
71%
Goal realization
29%
71%
Poisson distribution [1]
55%
45%
Team power
32.5%
67.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
14
Estrela Estrela
27
6
10
11
28
34.57%
33:45
-12
W
L
D
D
L
2.89
1.22
1.67
78%
56%
41%
16
Nacional Nacional
27
5
7
15
22
27.16%
29:39
-10
L
L
D
L
L
2.52
1.07
1.44
70%
48%
22%
Nacional
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
27
games
5
wins
19%
7
draws
26%
15
losses
56%
0.81
Points per game
22 (27.16%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
3
wins
23%
2
draws
15%
8
losses
62%
0.85
Points per game
11 (28.21%)
Total points
Estrela
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
27
games
6
wins
22%
10
draws
37%
11
losses
41%
1.04
Points per game
28 (34.57%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
2
wins
15%
5
draws
38%
6
losses
46%
0.85
Points per game
11 (28.21%)
Total points
Nacional
Nacional
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-15
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
FC Porto FC Porto
0
1
0
0
L
2026-02-21
Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
Nacional Nacional
3
0
0
0
L
2026-02-28
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
SC Braga SC Braga
1
2
0
1
L
2026-03-07
Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
Nacional Nacional
1
1
1
0
D
2026-03-15
Primeira Liga
Nacional Nacional
Estoril Estoril
0
1
0
1
L
2026-03-21
Primeira Liga
Famalicao Famalicao
Nacional Nacional
1
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 0.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Estrela
Estrela
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-14
Primeira Liga
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
Estrela Estrela
2
1
0
1
L
2026-02-20
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Tondela Tondela
0
2
0
1
L
2026-02-28
Primeira Liga
AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
Estrela Estrela
0
0
0
0
D
2026-03-08
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
2
2
0
1
D
2026-03-15
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Estrela Estrela
2
1
1
0
L
2026-03-20
Primeira Liga
Estrela Estrela
Casa Pia Casa Pia
▸ 4
0
3
0
W
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
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