EN
Match statistics: Derby County - Stoke City
England / Championship - Round 41
14:00, April 06, 2026
Derby County
2
:
0
First half 0:0
Stoke City
Match finished
1
1.9
X
3.5
2
3.85
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
S. Agina
3'
54'
J. Banel
(C. Morris)
69'
L. Travis
85'
J. Banel
89'
C. Morris
(B. Clark)
Match prediction Derby County - Stoke City
Match outcome
Derby County
Derby County
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.5
Total Over 2.5
48%
Total Under 3.5
78%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Stoke City
Stoke City
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Stoke City Stoke City
Derby County Derby County   power × 1.14 times greater   53.2%
Stoke City Stoke City   better at attack   60%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   64%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Stoke City Stoke City
Recent form
56%
44%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
54%
46%
Poisson distribution [1]
55%
45%
Team power
53.2%
46.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 41
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
8
Derby County Derby County
40
17
9
14
60
50%
58:51
+7
L
W
W
L
W
2.73
1.45
1.28
75%
50%
25%
12
Stoke City Stoke City
40
15
9
16
54
45%
48:43
+5
W
L
W
D
L
2.28
1.2
1.08
65%
45%
18%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
40
games
17
wins
43%
9
draws
23%
14
losses
35%
1.5
Points per game
60 (50%)
Total points
Home games
20
games
8
wins
40%
6
draws
30%
6
losses
30%
1.5
Points per game
30 (50%)
Total points
Stoke City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
40
games
15
wins
38%
9
draws
23%
16
losses
40%
1.35
Points per game
54 (45%)
Total points
Away games
20
games
6
wins
30%
4
draws
20%
10
losses
50%
1.1
Points per game
22 (36.67%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
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▸ 3
1
0
1
W
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2
1
W
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Derby County Derby County
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0
1
0
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Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
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▸ 1
0
1
0
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Championship
Coventry Coventry
Derby County Derby County
3
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1
Stoke City
Stoke City
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-28
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Coventry Coventry
Stoke City Stoke City
2
1
1
1
L
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Championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Stoke City Stoke City
2
0
0
0
L
2026-03-10
Championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
3
3
2
0
D
2026-03-14
Championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Watford Watford
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
2026-03-20
Championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Stoke City Stoke City
3
1
1
1
L
2026-04-03
Championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
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