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Match statistics: Arouca - Estoril
Portugal / Primeira Liga - Round 28
17:45, April 06, 2026
Arouca
3
:
2
First half 2:2
Estoril
Match finished
1
2.5
X
3.5
2
2.6
Math prediction: X2 — 1.5
(J. Carvalho)
Xeka
3'
13'
I. Barbero
(N. Djouahra)
J. Holsgrove
23'
(A. Lacximicant)
Y. Begraoui
32'
45+2'
J. Fontan
(I. Barbero)
55'
P. Gozalbez
(Tiago Esgaio)
56'
P. Gozalbez
A. Lacximicant
71'
90+7'
Puche
90+1'
I. De Arruabarrena
Match prediction Arouca - Estoril
Match outcome
Estoril
Estoril
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.4
Total Over 2.5
67%
Total Under 3.5
48%
Home goals prediction
Arouca
Arouca
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Estoril
Estoril
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
Estoril Estoril   power × 1.08 times greater   52%
Arouca Arouca   better at attack   55%
Teams even at defence
Team comparison
Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
Recent form
46%
54%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
46%
54%
Poisson distribution [1]
41%
59%
Team power
48%
52%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Primeira Liga - Round 28
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
7
Estoril Estoril
27
10
7
10
37
45.68%
48:44
+4
L
W
D
L
W
3.41
1.78
1.63
78%
67%
56%
12
Arouca Arouca
27
8
5
14
29
35.8%
34:55
-21
W
L
L
L
W
3.3
1.26
2.04
81%
67%
48%
Arouca
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
27
games
8
wins
30%
5
draws
19%
14
losses
52%
1.07
Points per game
29 (35.8%)
Total points
Home games
13
games
4
wins
31%
3
draws
23%
6
losses
46%
1.15
Points per game
15 (38.46%)
Total points
Estoril
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
27
games
10
wins
37%
7
draws
26%
10
losses
37%
1.37
Points per game
37 (45.68%)
Total points
Away games
13
games
4
wins
31%
2
draws
15%
7
losses
54%
1.08
Points per game
14 (35.9%)
Total points
Arouca
Arouca
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
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Arouca Arouca
3
2
3
2
L
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Arouca Arouca
Nacional Nacional
▸ 3
0
0
0
W
2026-02-27
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FC Porto FC Porto
Arouca Arouca
3
1
1
0
L
2026-03-06
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Famalicao Famalicao
Arouca Arouca
1
0
0
0
L
2026-03-14
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Arouca Arouca
Benfica Benfica
1
2
1
0
L
2026-03-21
Primeira Liga
Moreirense Moreirense
Arouca Arouca
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Estoril
Estoril
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
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AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
Estoril Estoril
3
0
0
0
L
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Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
▸ 3
1
1
1
W
2026-02-27
Primeira Liga
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Estoril Estoril
3
0
2
0
L
2026-03-07
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Casa Pia Casa Pia
0
0
0
0
D
2026-03-15
Primeira Liga
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Estoril Estoril
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-03-22
Primeira Liga
Estoril Estoril
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1
2
1
0
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
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