EN
Match statistics: Southampton - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 42
14:00, April 11, 2026
Southampton
2
:
1
First half 0:1
Derby County
Match finished
1
1.77
X
3.7
2
4.3
Math prediction: 1X — 1.2
C. Morris
38'
D. Sanderson
53'
O. Fraulo
55'
62'
L. Scienza
(F. Azaz)
69'
T. Harwood-Bellis
(R. Manning)
90+3'
C. Larin
Match prediction Southampton - Derby County
Match outcome
Southampton
Southampton
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
71%
Home goals prediction
Southampton
Southampton
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Southampton Southampton
Derby County Derby County
Southampton Southampton   power × 1.58 times greater   61.3%
Southampton Southampton   better at attack   65%
Southampton Southampton   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Southampton Southampton
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
59%
41%
H2H strength
64%
36%
Goal realization
63%
38%
Poisson distribution [1]
60%
40%
Team power
61.3%
38.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 42
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Southampton Southampton
40
18
12
10
66
55%
68:49
+19
W
W
W
W
D
2.93
1.7
1.23
85%
58%
33%
8
Derby County Derby County
41
18
9
14
63
51.22%
60:51
+9
W
L
W
W
L
2.71
1.46
1.24
76%
49%
24%
Southampton
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
40
games
18
wins
45%
12
draws
30%
10
losses
25%
1.65
Points per game
66 (55%)
Total points
Home games
19
games
10
wins
53%
6
draws
32%
3
losses
16%
1.89
Points per game
36 (63.16%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
41
games
18
wins
44%
9
draws
22%
14
losses
34%
1.54
Points per game
63 (51.22%)
Total points
Away games
20
games
9
wins
45%
3
draws
15%
8
losses
40%
1.5
Points per game
30 (50%)
Total points
Southampton
Southampton
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very good
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1
▸ 3
0
2
W
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West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Southampton Southampton
1
1
1
0
D
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Coventry Coventry
Southampton Southampton
1
▸ 2
0
0
W
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Southampton Southampton
Norwich City Norwich City
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
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Oxford United Oxford United
▸ 2
0
2
0
W
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Wrexham Wrexham
Southampton Southampton
1
▸ 5
1
2
W
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2026-03-07
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
2026-03-10
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
1
0
1
0
L
2026-03-16
Championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby County Derby County
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-03-21
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2026-04-03
Championship
Coventry Coventry
Derby County Derby County
3
2
1
1
L
2026-04-06
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Stoke City Stoke City
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 0.83
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