2026-04-17 HNK Gorica - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: HNK Gorica - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

HNK Gorica

Croatia / HNL - Round 30

13:30, April 17, 2026

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2.22

3.2

3.1

1.35

1.62

Math prediction: 1X — 1.35

Match prediction HNK Gorica - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Match outcome

HNK Gorica

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.7

2.5+

47%

-3.5

72%

xG for the team (Home)

HNK Gorica

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Goals

HNK Gorica missed goals in 23 of 28 matches, 1.43 on average

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has goals against on на away in 14 matches in a row, 1.86 on average

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has goals for in 24 of 29 matches, 1.17 on average

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb missed goals in 25 of 29 matches, 1.59 on average

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 27 of 29 matches has played over 1.5

Tournament chart

HNK Gorica

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

HNK Gorica power × 1.31 times greater 56.8%

HNK Gorica better at attack 58%

HNK Gorica better at defence 69%

Team comparison

HNK Gorica

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Recent form

55%

45%

H2H strength

50%

Goal realization

47%

53%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

62%

38%

Team power

56.8%

43.2%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: HNL - Round 30

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

39.08%

34:46

-12

2.76

1.17

1.59

93%

45%

24%

HNK Gorica

36.78%

34:40

-6

2.55

1.17

1.38

72%

48%

31%

HNK Gorica

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

28%

draws

28%

losses

45%

games

wins

36%

draws

21%

losses

43%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

28%

draws

34%

losses

38%

games

wins

draws

43%

losses

50%

0.64

Points per game

9 (21.43%)

Total points

HNK Gorica

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-03-01

HNL

Dinamo Zagreb

HNK Gorica

2026-03-07

HNL

HNK Gorica

NK Slaven Belupo

2026-03-14

HNL

NK Osijek

HNK Gorica

2026-03-22

HNL

HNK Gorica

HNK Rijeka

▸ 4

2026-04-03

HNL

NK Varazdin

HNK Gorica

2026-04-12

HNL

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Gorica

Goals per match: 2.83

Goals 1st time: 1.33

Goals 2nd time: 1.5

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-03-01

HNL

HNK Rijeka

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2026-03-07

HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

NK Varazdin

2026-03-15

HNL

HNK Hajduk Split

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2026-03-21

HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

2026-04-07

HNL

Vukovar 1991

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2026-04-11

HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Istra 1961

▸ 2

Goals per match: 2.67

Goals 1st time: 1.5

Goals 2nd time: 1.17

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