2026-04-17 Ilirija - Bistrica match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Ilirija - Bistrica

Ilirija

Slovenia / 2. SNL - Round 24

15:00, April 17, 2026

Bistrica

2.12

3.25

2.9

1.28

1.53

Math prediction: X2 — 1.53

Match prediction Ilirija - Bistrica

Match outcome

Bistrica

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.5+

59%

-3.5

65%

xG for the team (Home)

Ilirija

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

Bistrica

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Ilirija hasn't any win 5 matches in a row, 2 of them at home

Bistrica were won every away match

Bistrica hasn't any win the 1st half 5 matches in the row, 2 of them away

Goals

Ilirija has goals for in 18 of 21 matches, 1.19 on average

Ilirija has goals for on home in 9 matches in a row, 1.27 on average

Ilirija in 19 of 21 matches has played over 1.5

Ilirija missed goals in 18 of 21 matches, 1.86 on average

Bistrica in 16 of 20 matches has played over 1.5

Tournament chart

Ilirija

Bistrica

Bistrica power × 1.64 times greater 62.2%

Teams even at power

Bistrica better at defence 53%

Team comparison

Ilirija

Bistrica

Recent form

38%

63%

H2H strength

25%

75%

Goal realization

36%

64%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

32%

68%

Team power

38%

62.2%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: 2. SNL - Round 24

Bistrica

52.17%

40:25

+15

2.83

1.74

1.09

83%

57%

30%

Ilirija

26.09%

29:42

-13

3.09

1.26

1.83

91%

61%

39%

Ilirija

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

13%

draws

39%

losses

48%

games

wins

18%

draws

36%

losses

45%

Bistrica

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

43%

draws

26%

losses

30%

games

wins

27%

draws

36%

losses

36%

1.18

Points per game

13 (39.39%)

Total points

Ilirija

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-03-06

2. SNL

Ilirija

Jesenice

▸ 2

2026-03-14

2. SNL

Triglav

Ilirija

2026-03-20

2. SNL

Ilirija

Dekani

2026-04-08

2. SNL

Slovan Ljubljana

Ilirija

2026-04-03

2. SNL

Ilirija

Tabor Sežana

2026-04-11

2. SNL

Rudar

Ilirija

Goals per match: 2.67

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 1.5

Bistrica

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-03-07

2. SNL

Dravinja

Bistrica

▸ 3

2026-03-14

2. SNL

Bistrica

Gorica

2026-03-21

2. SNL

Krško

Bistrica

2026-03-29

2. SNL

Bistrica

Jesenice

2026-04-03

2. SNL

Dekani

Bistrica

2026-04-12

2. SNL

Bistrica

Tabor Sežana

▸ 2

Goals per match: 2.67

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 1.5

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