2026-04-17 FC Rostov - PFC Sochi match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: FC Rostov - PFC Sochi

FC Rostov

Russia / Premier League - Round 25

16:30, April 17, 2026

PFC Sochi

1.48

4.4

7.6

1.11

2.8

Math prediction: 1X — 1.11

Match prediction FC Rostov - PFC Sochi

Match outcome

FC Rostov

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.5

2.5+

44%

-3.5

74%

xG for the team (Home)

FC Rostov

expected 0 - 1 goal

xG for the team (Away)

PFC Sochi

expected 0 - 1 goal

Trends

Outcomes

FC Rostov hasn't any defeat the 2nd half 5 matches in a row, 3 of them home

PFC Sochi hasn't any win the 2nd half 10 matches in the row, 10 of them away

Goals

FC Rostov in 21 of 24 matches has played under 3.5

PFC Sochi missed goals in 20 of 23 matches, 2.17 on average

Tournament chart

FC Rostov

PFC Sochi

PFC Sochi power × 1.07 times greater 51.7%

Teams even at power

FC Rostov better at defence 69%

Team comparison

FC Rostov

PFC Sochi

Recent form

63%

38%

H2H strength

29%

71%

Goal realization

23%

77%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

57%

43%

Team power

48.5%

51.7%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Premier League - Round 25

FC Rostov

36.11%

19:26

-7

1.88

0.79

1.08

50%

21%

13%

PFC Sochi

16.67%

21:53

-32

3.08

0.88

2.21

79%

67%

38%

FC Rostov

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

25%

draws

33%

losses

42%

games

wins

25%

draws

42%

losses

33%

PFC Sochi

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

13%

draws

13%

losses

75%

games

wins

17%

draws

losses

75%

0.58

Points per game

7 (19.44%)

Total points

FC Rostov

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-02-28

Premier League

Krasnodar

FC Rostov

2026-03-07

Premier League

FC Rostov

Baltika

2026-03-14

Premier League

FC Rostov

Dinamo Moscow

2026-03-21

Premier League

Akhmat Grozny

FC Rostov

2026-04-05

Premier League

FC Nizhny Novgorod

FC Rostov

▸ 1

2026-04-12

Premier League

FC Rostov

Spartak Moscow

Goals per match: 1.67

Goals 1st time: 1.33

Goals 2nd time: 0.33

PFC Sochi

Latest six matches

Latest form:

very bad

2025-12-07

Premier League

PFC Sochi

Lokomotiv Moscow

2026-03-07

Premier League

FC Nizhny Novgorod

PFC Sochi

2026-03-14

Premier League

PFC Sochi

Krasnodar

2026-03-21

Premier League

Baltika

PFC Sochi

2026-04-06

Premier League

PFC Sochi

Rubin Kazan

2026-04-12

Premier League

CSKA Moscow

PFC Sochi

▸ 1

Goals per match: 3

Goals 1st time: 1.67

Goals 2nd time: 1.33

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