2026-04-17 Inter Milan - Cagliari match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Inter Milan - Cagliari

Inter Milan

Italy / Serie A - Round 33

18:45, April 17, 2026

Cagliari

1.22

6.2

11.5

1.03

4.2

Math prediction: 1 — 1.22

Match prediction Inter Milan - Cagliari

Match outcome

Inter Milan

win

Goals / Match

2.8

2.5+

50%

-3.5

71%

xG for the team (Home)

Inter Milan

expected 2 - 3 goals

xG for the team (Away)

Cagliari

expected 0 - 1 goal

Trends

Outcomes

Goals

Inter Milan in 35 of 42 matches has played over 1.5

Inter Milan has goals for in 39 of 42 matches, 2.19 on average

Inter Milan has goals for on home in 10 matches in a row, 1.19 on average

Cagliari in 26 of 32 matches has played under 3.5

Cagliari missed goals on away in the 2nd half in 6 matches in a row

Cagliari has goals against on на away in 10 matches in a row, 1.19 on average

Tournament chart

Inter Milan

Cagliari

Inter Milan power × 3 times greater 75%

Inter Milan better at attack 73%

Teams even at defence

Team comparison

Inter Milan

Cagliari

Recent form

73%

27%

H2H strength

93%

Goal realization

80%

20%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

81%

19%

Team power

75%

25%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 33

Inter Milan

78.13%

75:29

+46

3.25

2.34

0.91

81%

53%

38%

Cagliari

34.38%

33:44

-11

2.41

1.03

1.38

75%

47%

19%

Inter Milan

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

75%

draws

losses

16%

games

wins

75%

draws

13%

losses

13%

Cagliari

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

25%

draws

28%

losses

47%

games

wins

19%

draws

31%

losses

50%

0.88

Points per game

14 (29.17%)

Total points

Inter Milan

Latest six matches

Latest form:

good

2026-02-28

Serie A

Inter Milan

Genoa

▸ 2

2026-03-08

Serie A

AC Milan

Inter Milan

2026-03-14

Serie A

Inter Milan

Atalanta

2026-03-22

Serie A

Fiorentina

Inter Milan

2026-04-05

Serie A

Inter Milan

AS Roma

▸ 5

2026-04-12

Serie A

Como

Inter Milan

▸ 4

Goals per match: 3.5

Goals 1st time: 1.67

Goals 2nd time: 1.83

Cagliari

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-02-27

Serie A

Parma

Cagliari

2026-03-07

Serie A

Cagliari

Como

2026-03-15

Serie A

Pisa

Cagliari

2026-03-20

Serie A

Cagliari

Napoli

2026-04-04

Serie A

Sassuolo

Cagliari

2026-04-11

Serie A

Cagliari

Cremonese

▸ 1

Goals per match: 2.33

Goals 1st time: 0.67

Goals 2nd time: 1.67

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