2026-04-17 Kerry - Treaty United match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Kerry - Treaty United

Kerry

Ireland / First Division - Round 11

18:45, April 17, 2026

Treaty United

2.48

3.1

2.9

1.4

1.5

Math prediction: 1X — 1.4

Match prediction Kerry - Treaty United

Match outcome

Kerry

win or draw

Goals / Match

2.6

2.5+

47%

-3.5

68%

xG for the team (Home)

Kerry

expected 1 - 2 goals

xG for the team (Away)

Treaty United

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Kerry hasn't any win the 2nd half 5 matches in the row, 5 of them home

Treaty United hasn't any win at away

Goals

Kerry in 8 of 10 matches both team has goals for

Kerry missed goals in 9 of 10 matches, 1.6 on average

Kerry has goals for in 8 latest matches, 1 on average

Kerry has goals for in 9 of 10 matches, 1.1 on average

Kerry in 8 of 10 matches has played under 3.5

Kerry in 8 of 10 matches has played over 1.5

Tournament chart

Kerry

Treaty United

Kerry power × 1.03 times greater 50.7%

Teams even at power

Teams even at defence

Team comparison

Kerry

Treaty United

Recent form

44%

56%

H2H strength

50%

Goal realization

47%

53%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

63%

37%

Team power

50.7%

49.3%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: First Division - Round 11

Kerry

23.33%

11:16

-5

2.7

1.1

1.6

80%

50%

20%

Treaty United

22.22%

8:15

-7

2.56

0.89

1.67

67%

44%

Kerry

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

10%

draws

40%

losses

50%

games

wins

20%

draws

40%

losses

40%

Treaty United

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

11%

draws

33%

losses

56%

games

wins

draws

20%

losses

80%

0.2

Points per game

1 (6.67%)

Total points

Kerry

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-03-13

First Division

Wexford FC

Kerry

2026-03-20

First Division

Kerry

Finn Harps

▸ 1

2026-03-27

First Division

Bray Wanderers

Kerry

2026-04-03

First Division

Kerry

Cobh Ramblers

2026-04-06

First Division

Cork City

Kerry

2026-04-10

First Division

Kerry

UCD

Goals per match: 2.83

Goals 1st time: 0.83

Goals 2nd time: 2

Treaty United

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-03-06

First Division

Treaty United

Kerry

2026-03-13

First Division

Finn Harps

Treaty United

2026-03-20

First Division

Treaty United

Athlone Town

▸ 2

2026-03-27

First Division

Wexford FC

Treaty United

2026-04-03

First Division

Treaty United

Longford Town

2026-04-06

First Division

Cobh Ramblers

Treaty United

Goals per match: 3.17

Goals 1st time: 1.17

Goals 2nd time: 2

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