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Match statistics: UCD - Finn Harps
UCD
Ireland / First Division - Round 11
18:45, April 17, 2026
-
:
-
Finn Harps
1
2.08
X
3.35
2
3.45
1X
1.3
X2
1.7
Math prediction: 1X — 1.3
Match prediction UCD - Finn Harps
Match outcome
UCD
UCD
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.1
2.5+
40%
-3.5
85%
xG for the team (Home)
UCD
UCD
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
expected 0 - 1 goal
Trends
Outcomes
UCD   UCD hasn't any defeat the 1st half 5 matches in a row, 3 of them home
Finn Harps   Finn Harps hasn't any win the 2nd half 2 matches in the row, 3 of them away
Finn Harps   Finn Harps were won every away match
Goals
UCD   UCD in 9 of 10 matches has played under 3.5
Finn Harps   Finn Harps missed goals in 8 of 10 matches, 1.2 on average
Finn Harps   Finn Harps in 8 of 10 matches has played under 3.5
Tournament chart
UCD UCD
Finn Harps Finn Harps
UCD UCD   power × 1.86 times greater   65%
UCD UCD   better at attack   70%
UCD UCD   better at defence   71%
Team comparison
UCD UCD
Finn Harps Finn Harps
Recent form
62%
38%
H2H strength
60%
40%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
77%
23%
Team power
65%
35%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: First Division - Round 11
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
UCD UCD
10
4
3
3
15
50%
13:7
+6
D
D
W
W
L
2
1.3
0.7
70%
40%
10%
7
Finn Harps Finn Harps
10
2
5
3
11
36.67%
10:12
-2
L
D
D
W
L
2.2
1
1.2
70%
40%
20%
UCD
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
10
games
4
wins
40%
3
draws
30%
3
losses
30%
1.5
Points per game
15 (50%)
Total points
Home games
5
games
3
wins
60%
1
draws
20%
1
losses
20%
2
Points per game
10 (66.67%)
Total points
Finn Harps
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
10
games
2
wins
20%
5
draws
50%
3
losses
30%
1.1
Points per game
11 (36.67%)
Total points
Away games
5
games
1
wins
20%
2
draws
40%
2
losses
40%
1
Points per game
5 (33.33%)
Total points
UCD
UCD
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-03-13
First Division
Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers
UCD UCD
2
1
1
0
L
2026-03-20
First Division
UCD UCD
Cork City Cork City
0
1
0
0
L
2026-03-27
First Division
UCD UCD
Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers
▸ 4
0
1
0
W
2026-04-03
First Division
Athlone Town Athlone Town
UCD UCD
0
▸ 2
0
2
W
2026-04-06
First Division
UCD UCD
Wexford FC Wexford FC
0
0
0
0
D
2026-04-10
First Division
Kerry Kerry
UCD UCD
1
1
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Latest six matches
Latest form:
bad
2026-03-13
First Division
Finn Harps Finn Harps
Treaty United Treaty United
2
2
0
2
D
2026-03-20
First Division
Kerry Kerry
Finn Harps Finn Harps
1
0
1
0
L
2026-03-28
First Division
Longford Town Longford Town
Finn Harps Finn Harps
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-04-03
First Division
Finn Harps Finn Harps
Cork City Cork City
0
0
0
0
D
2026-04-06
First Division
Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers
Finn Harps Finn Harps
2
2
0
1
D
2026-04-10
First Division
Finn Harps Finn Harps
Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers
0
2
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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