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Match statistics: Lorient - Marseille
France / Ligue 1 - Round 30
15:00, April 18, 2026
Lorient
2
:
0
First half 1:0
Marseille
Match finished
1
4.4
X
3.85
2
1.72
Math prediction: X2 — 1.2
28'
P. Katseris
B. Pavard
57'
58'
B. Dieng
(P. Pagis)
B. Nadir
74'
T. Weah
90'
Match prediction Lorient - Marseille
Match outcome
Marseille
Marseille
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.1
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
62%
xG for the team (Home)
Lorient
Lorient
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Marseille
Marseille
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Lorient Lorient
Marseille Marseille
Marseille Marseille   power × 2.08 times greater   67.5%
Marseille Marseille   better at attack   64%
Marseille Marseille   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
Lorient Lorient
Marseille Marseille
Recent form
36%
64%
H2H strength
7%
93%
Goal realization
22%
78%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
32.5%
67.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Ligue 1 - Round 30
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Marseille Marseille
29
16
4
9
52
59.77%
58:38
+20
W
L
L
W
W
3.31
2
1.31
72%
66%
45%
9
Lorient Lorient
29
9
11
9
38
43.68%
38:44
-6
L
D
L
W
D
2.83
1.31
1.52
86%
41%
31%
Lorient
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
29
games
9
wins
31%
11
draws
38%
9
losses
31%
1.31
Points per game
38 (43.68%)
Total points
Home games
14
games
7
wins
50%
6
draws
43%
1
losses
7%
1.93
Points per game
27 (64.29%)
Total points
Marseille
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
29
games
16
wins
55%
4
draws
14%
9
losses
31%
1.79
Points per game
52 (59.77%)
Total points
Away games
14
games
6
wins
43%
1
draws
7%
7
losses
50%
1.36
Points per game
19 (45.24%)
Total points
Lorient
Lorient
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-03-01
Ligue 1
Lorient Lorient
Auxerre Auxerre
2
2
2
2
D
2026-03-08
Ligue 1
Lille Lille
Lorient Lorient
1
1
0
0
D
2026-03-14
Ligue 1
Lorient Lorient
Lens Lens
▸ 2
1
1
0
W
2026-03-21
Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
Lorient Lorient
1
0
0
0
L
2026-04-05
Ligue 1
Lorient Lorient
Paris FC Paris FC
1
1
0
0
D
2026-04-12
Ligue 1
Lyon Lyon
Lorient Lorient
2
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Marseille
Marseille
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2025
2026-03-01
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Lyon Lyon
▸ 3
2
0
1
W
2026-03-07
Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
Marseille Marseille
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-03-13
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Auxerre Auxerre
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-03-22
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Lille Lille
1
2
1
0
L
2026-04-05
Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
Marseille Marseille
2
1
0
0
L
2026-04-10
Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
Metz Metz
▸ 3
1
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
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