EN
Match statistics: Real Madrid - Alaves
Spain / La Liga - Round 33
19:30, April 21, 2026
Real Madrid
2
:
1
First half 1:0
Alaves
Match finished
1
1.31
X
5.5
2
8.1
Math prediction: 1 — 1.31
30'
K. Mbappe
(A. Guler)
35'
A. Tchouameni
50'
Vinicius Junior
(F. Valverde)
A. Perez
90'
(A. Guevara)
T. Martinez
90+3'
Match prediction Real Madrid - Alaves
Match outcome
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
win
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
55%
Total Under 3.5
72%
xG for the team (Home)
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
expected 2 - 3 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Alaves
Alaves
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Real Madrid Real Madrid   power × 1.96 times greater   66.4%
Alaves Alaves   better at attack   52%
Real Madrid Real Madrid   better at defence   63%
Team comparison
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Recent form
63%
38%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
80%
20%
Poisson distribution [1]
78%
22%
Team power
66.4%
33.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: La Liga - Round 33
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
31
22
4
5
70
75.27%
65:29
+36
D
L
W
W
W
3.03
2.1
0.94
87%
61%
29%
17
Alaves Alaves
31
8
9
14
33
35.48%
35:46
-11
D
D
W
D
L
2.61
1.13
1.48
71%
48%
26%
Real Madrid
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
31
games
22
wins
71%
4
draws
13%
5
losses
16%
2.26
Points per game
70 (75.27%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
13
wins
81%
1
draws
6%
2
losses
13%
2.5
Points per game
40 (83.33%)
Total points
Alaves
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
31
games
8
wins
26%
9
draws
29%
14
losses
45%
1.06
Points per game
33 (35.48%)
Total points
Away games
16
games
3
wins
19%
3
draws
19%
10
losses
63%
0.75
Points per game
12 (25%)
Total points
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2025
2026-03-17
UEFA Champions League
Manchester City Manchester City
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1
▸ 2
1
1
W
2026-03-22
La Liga
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
▸ 3
2
0
1
W
2026-04-04
La Liga
Mallorca Mallorca
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2
1
1
0
L
2026-04-07
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
1
2
0
1
L
2026-04-10
La Liga
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Girona Girona
1
1
0
0
D
2026-04-15
UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
Real Madrid Real Madrid
4
3
2
3
L
Goals per match: 3.83
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 2.17
Alaves
Alaves
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2025
2026-02-27
La Liga
Levante Levante
Alaves Alaves
2
0
0
0
L
2026-03-08
La Liga
Valencia Valencia
Alaves Alaves
3
2
0
1
L
2026-03-13
La Liga
Alaves Alaves
Villarreal Villarreal
1
1
1
0
D
2026-03-22
La Liga
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Alaves Alaves
3
▸ 4
3
1
W
2026-04-05
La Liga
Alaves Alaves
Osasuna Osasuna
2
2
1
1
D
2026-04-11
La Liga
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Alaves Alaves
3
3
2
2
D
Goals per match: 4.33
Goals 1st time: 2
Goals 2nd time: 2.33
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