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Match statistics: Sao Paulo - Bahia
Brazil / Serie A - Round 14
19:00, May 03, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
:
2
First half 1:0
Bahia
Match finished
1
1.99
X
3.3
2
3.8
Math prediction: 1X — 1.25
17'
Artur
(Wendell)
Nicolas Acevedo
41'
45'
D. Bobadilla
(Everton Ribeiro)
Luciano Juba
62'
73'
Ferreira
(Jonathan Calleri)
81'
E. Diaz
Erick
90+7'
M. Sanabria
90+4'
Erick
90+7'
90+10'
Andre Silva
90+6'
Jonathan Calleri
Match prediction Sao Paulo - Bahia
Match outcome
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
41%
Total Under 3.5
87%
xG for the team (Home)
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Bahia
Bahia
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Bahia Bahia
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo   power × 1.75 times greater   63.7%
Bahia Bahia   better at attack   53%
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo   better at defence   54%
Team comparison
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Bahia Bahia
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
80%
20%
Goal realization
77%
23%
Poisson distribution [1]
74%
26%
Team power
63.7%
36.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 14
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
13
7
2
4
23
58.97%
17:11
+6
W
L
L
W
D
2.15
1.31
0.85
69%
31%
8%
6
Bahia Bahia
12
6
3
3
21
58.33%
17:14
+3
D
L
W
L
W
2.58
1.42
1.17
83%
50%
17%
Sao Paulo
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
13
games
7
wins
54%
2
draws
15%
4
losses
31%
1.77
Points per game
23 (58.97%)
Total points
Home games
6
games
5
wins
83%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
17%
2.5
Points per game
15 (83.33%)
Total points
Bahia
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
12
games
6
wins
50%
3
draws
25%
3
losses
25%
1.75
Points per game
21 (58.33%)
Total points
Away games
6
games
4
wins
67%
0
draws
0%
2
losses
33%
2
Points per game
12 (66.67%)
Total points
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
2026-03-22
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0
1
0
1
L
2026-04-01
Serie A
Internacional Internacional
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1
1
1
0
D
2026-04-04
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
▸ 4
1
2
0
W
2026-04-11
Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2
0
1
0
L
2026-04-18
Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2
1
0
1
L
2026-04-26
Serie A
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Mirassol Mirassol
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Bahia
Bahia
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
2026-03-22
Serie A
Remo Remo
Bahia Bahia
4
1
1
1
L
2026-04-01
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
▸ 3
0
2
0
W
2026-04-05
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1
2
0
1
L
2026-04-11
Serie A
Mirassol Mirassol
Bahia Bahia
1
▸ 2
1
0
W
2026-04-19
Serie A
Flamengo Flamengo
Bahia Bahia
2
0
1
0
L
2026-04-25
Serie A
Bahia Bahia
Santos Santos
2
2
0
2
D
Goals per match: 3.33
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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