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Match statistics: RB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli
Germany / Bundesliga - Round 33
13:30, May 09, 2026
RB Leipzig
2
:
1
First half 1:0
FC St. Pauli
Match finished
1
1.29
X
5.3
2
9.6
Math prediction: 1 — 1.29
19'
C. Lukeba
45'
X. Schlager
(C. Baumgartner)
50'
C. Baumgartner
54'
W. Orban
(D. Raum)
(J. Irvine)
A. Ceesay
86'
Match prediction RB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli
Match outcome
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
win
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
61%
Total Under 3.5
67%
xG for the team (Home)
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
expected 2 - 3 goals
xG for the team (Away)
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig   power × 2.53 times greater   71.7%
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig   better at attack   77%
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig   better at defence   61%
Team comparison
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Recent form
86%
14%
H2H strength
62%
38%
Goal realization
64%
36%
Poisson distribution [1]
80%
20%
Team power
71.7%
28.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Bundesliga - Round 33
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
32
19
5
8
62
64.58%
63:42
+21
L
W
W
W
W
3.28
1.97
1.31
84%
69%
47%
17
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
32
6
8
18
26
27.08%
27:55
-28
L
L
D
L
D
2.56
0.84
1.72
81%
53%
19%
RB Leipzig
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
32
games
19
wins
59%
5
draws
16%
8
losses
25%
1.94
Points per game
62 (64.58%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
11
wins
69%
2
draws
13%
3
losses
19%
2.19
Points per game
35 (72.92%)
Total points
FC St. Pauli
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
32
games
6
wins
19%
8
draws
25%
18
losses
56%
0.81
Points per game
26 (27.08%)
Total points
Away games
16
games
2
wins
13%
3
draws
19%
11
losses
69%
0.56
Points per game
9 (18.75%)
Total points
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very good
2026-03-20
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
▸ 5
0
4
0
W
2026-04-04
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-04-11
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia Monchengladbach
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-04-18
Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1
▸ 3
1
1
W
2026-04-24
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Union Berlin Union Berlin
▸ 3
1
2
0
W
2026-05-02
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
4
1
2
0
L
Goals per match: 3.67
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very bad
2026-03-22
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
1
2
1
0
L
2026-04-05
Bundesliga
Union Berlin Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
1
1
0
1
D
2026-04-11
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
0
5
0
1
L
2026-04-17
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
1
1
0
0
D
2026-04-25
Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
2
0
1
0
L
2026-05-03
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
1
2
0
2
L
Goals per match: 2.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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