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Match statistics: AC Milan - Atalanta
Italy / Serie A - Round 36
18:45, May 10, 2026
AC Milan
2
:
3
First half 0:2
Atalanta
Match finished
1
2.08
X
3.3
2
3.45
Math prediction: 1X — 1.3
Ederson
7'
(N. Krstovic)
D. Zappacosta
29'
34'
R. Leao
(Ederson)
G. Raspadori
52'
I. Hien
70'
88'
S. Pavlovic
(S. Ricci)
R. Bellanova
90+6'
90'
A. Saelemaekers
90'
P. Estupinan
90+4'
C. Nkunku
(penalty)
N. Krstovic
90+5'
Match prediction AC Milan - Atalanta
Match outcome
AC Milan
AC Milan
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.2
Total Over 2.5
39%
Total Under 3.5
83%
xG for the team (Home)
AC Milan
AC Milan
expected 0 - 1 goal
xG for the team (Away)
Atalanta
Atalanta
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Atalanta Atalanta   power × 1.96 times greater   66.2%
Atalanta Atalanta   better at attack   86%
Atalanta Atalanta   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Recent form
44%
56%
H2H strength
15%
85%
Goal realization
36%
64%
Poisson distribution [1]
49%
51%
Team power
33.8%
66.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 36
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
AC Milan AC Milan
35
19
10
6
67
63.81%
48:29
+19
L
D
W
L
L
2.2
1.37
0.83
63%
40%
17%
7
Atalanta Atalanta
35
14
13
8
55
52.38%
47:32
+15
D
L
D
L
W
2.26
1.34
0.91
74%
37%
17%
AC Milan
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
35
games
19
wins
54%
10
draws
29%
6
losses
17%
1.91
Points per game
67 (63.81%)
Total points
Home games
17
games
9
wins
53%
5
draws
29%
3
losses
18%
1.88
Points per game
32 (62.75%)
Total points
Atalanta
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
35
games
14
wins
40%
13
draws
37%
8
losses
23%
1.57
Points per game
55 (52.38%)
Total points
Away games
17
games
5
wins
29%
7
draws
41%
5
losses
29%
1.29
Points per game
22 (43.14%)
Total points
AC Milan
AC Milan
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-03-21
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Torino Torino
▸ 3
2
1
1
W
2026-04-06
Serie A
Napoli Napoli
AC Milan AC Milan
1
0
0
0
L
2026-04-11
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Udinese Udinese
0
3
0
2
L
2026-04-19
Serie A
Verona Verona
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-04-26
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Juventus Juventus
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-03
Serie A
Sassuolo Sassuolo
AC Milan AC Milan
2
0
1
0
L
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1
Atalanta
Atalanta
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-03-22
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Verona Verona
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2026-04-06
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Atalanta Atalanta
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2026-04-11
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Juventus Juventus
0
1
0
0
L
2026-04-18
Serie A
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
1
1
1
1
D
2026-04-27
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Atalanta Atalanta
3
2
2
2
L
2026-05-02
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Genoa Genoa
0
0
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
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