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Match statistics: Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec
Poland / I Liga - Round 33
16:00, May 15, 2026
Pogoń Siedlce
1
:
3
First half 1:1
Stal Mielec
Match finished
1
2.9
X
3.1
2
2.2
Math prediction: 1X — 1.62
33'
C. Demianiuk
(P. Kruszelnicki)
F. Gerbowski
38'
41'
M. Famulak
(C. Demianiuk)
H. Matynia
48'
(F. Gerbowski)
K. Cybulski
70'
Match prediction Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec
Match outcome
Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
75%
xG for the team (Home)
Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce   power × 1.12 times greater   52.8%
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec   better at attack   58%
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce   better at defence   53%
Team comparison
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Recent form
60%
40%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
0%
0%
Poisson distribution [1]
59%
41%
Team power
52.8%
47.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: I Liga - Round 33
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
14
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
32
9
9
14
36
37.5%
32:38
-6
L
L
W
W
L
2.19
1
1.19
72%
38%
16%
15
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
32
8
6
18
30
31.25%
44:60
-16
D
L
L
L
W
3.25
1.38
1.88
91%
69%
34%
Pogoń Siedlce
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
32
games
9
wins
28%
9
draws
28%
14
losses
44%
1.13
Points per game
36 (37.5%)
Total points
Home games
16
games
5
wins
31%
4
draws
25%
7
losses
44%
1.19
Points per game
19 (39.58%)
Total points
Stal Mielec
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
32
games
8
wins
25%
6
draws
19%
18
losses
56%
0.94
Points per game
30 (31.25%)
Total points
Away games
16
games
4
wins
25%
2
draws
13%
10
losses
63%
0.88
Points per game
14 (29.17%)
Total points
Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
Latest six matches
Latest form:
bad
2026-04-04
I Liga
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
1
0
1
0
L
2026-04-12
I Liga
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Tychy 71 Tychy 71
0
1
0
0
L
2026-04-19
I Liga
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-04-25
I Liga
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2026-05-02
I Liga
LKS Lodz LKS Lodz
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
4
0
2
0
L
2026-05-10
I Liga
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów
1
2
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-06
I Liga
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
1
▸ 2
0
0
W
2026-04-11
I Liga
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów
▸ 3
1
2
1
W
2026-04-17
I Liga
Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
2
1
2
1
L
2026-04-25
I Liga
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
2
3
2
2
L
2026-05-02
I Liga
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
1
0
0
0
L
2026-05-09
I Liga
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice
1
1
1
1
D
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 2
Goals 2nd time: 1
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