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Match statistics: Waterford FC - Derry City
Ireland / Premier Division - Round 17
18:45, May 15, 2026
Waterford FC
2
:
2
First half 0:1
Derry City
Match finished
1
4.9
X
3.75
2
1.67
Math prediction: X2 — 1.17
(J. Clarke)
K. Santos
19'
34'
L. Heeney
38'
B. Couto
A. O'Reilly
42'
59'
T. Lonergan
(penalty)
J. Stott
62'
81'
K. Long
(B. Couto)
(B. Fleming)
H. Rylah
90+4'
Match prediction Waterford FC - Derry City
Match outcome
Derry City
Derry City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.7
Total Over 2.5
42%
Total Under 3.5
71%
xG for the team (Home)
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
expected 0 - 1 goal
xG for the team (Away)
Derry City
Derry City
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Derry City Derry City
Derry City Derry City   power × 1.78 times greater   64.2%
Teams even at power
Derry City Derry City   better at defence   73%
Team comparison
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Derry City Derry City
Recent form
20%
80%
H2H strength
40%
60%
Goal realization
38%
63%
Poisson distribution [1]
41%
59%
Team power
36%
64.2%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premier Division - Round 17
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
5
Derry City Derry City
16
4
7
5
19
39.58%
19:19
0
L
D
D
W
W
2.38
1.19
1.19
63%
50%
25%
10
Waterford FC Waterford FC
15
0
6
9
6
13.33%
13:32
-19
L
D
L
D
L
3
0.87
2.13
80%
33%
33%
Waterford FC
Points and results
Segment table:
5
All games
15
games
0
wins
0%
6
draws
40%
9
losses
60%
0.4
Points per game
6 (13.33%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
0
wins
0%
5
draws
71%
2
losses
29%
0.71
Points per game
5 (23.81%)
Total points
Derry City
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
16
games
4
wins
25%
7
draws
44%
5
losses
31%
1.19
Points per game
19 (39.58%)
Total points
Away games
8
games
1
wins
13%
4
draws
50%
3
losses
38%
0.88
Points per game
7 (29.17%)
Total points
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very bad
2026-04-06
Premier Division
Bohemians Bohemians
Waterford FC Waterford FC
1
1
0
1
D
2026-04-18
Premier Division
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
Waterford FC Waterford FC
2
0
1
0
L
2026-04-24
Premier Division
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Galway United Galway United
1
1
0
1
D
2026-05-01
Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Waterford FC Waterford FC
1
0
1
0
L
2026-05-04
Premier Division
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Dundalk Dundalk
3
3
1
2
D
2026-05-08
Premier Division
St. Patrick's Athletic St. Patrick's Athletic
Waterford FC Waterford FC
4
1
1
1
L
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Derry City
Derry City
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-10
Premier Division
Dundalk Dundalk
Derry City Derry City
2
2
1
2
D
2026-04-17
Premier Division
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Derry City Derry City
1
▸ 2
0
1
W
2026-04-24
Premier Division
Derry City Derry City
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
2026-05-01
Premier Division
Bohemians Bohemians
Derry City Derry City
1
1
0
1
D
2026-05-04
Premier Division
Derry City Derry City
Galway United Galway United
1
1
0
1
D
2026-05-08
Premier Division
Drogheda United Drogheda United
Derry City Derry City
1
0
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1
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