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Match statistics: Incheon United - Gwangju FC
South-Korea / K League 1 - Round 15
10:00, May 16, 2026
Incheon United
4
:
0
First half 2:0
Gwangju FC
Match finished
1
1.5
X
3.85
2
6.8
Math prediction: 1X — 1.1
19'
Ibiza
(Lee Ju-Yong)
26'
M. Ferrier
(Lee Chung-Yong)
55'
Gerso
(Lee Dong-Ryul)
65'
Lee Chung-Yong
(penalty)
B. Gong
75'
Moon Min-seo
88'
Match prediction Incheon United - Gwangju FC
Match outcome
Incheon United
Incheon United
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
54%
Total Under 3.5
68%
xG for the team (Home)
Incheon United
Incheon United
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Incheon United Incheon United
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
Incheon United Incheon United   power × 3.3 times greater   76.8%
Incheon United Incheon United   better at attack   67%
Incheon United Incheon United   better at defence   88%
Team comparison
Incheon United Incheon United
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
Recent form
88%
13%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
60%
40%
Poisson distribution [1]
87%
13%
Team power
76.8%
23.3%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: K League 1 - Round 15
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Incheon United Incheon United
14
5
3
6
18
42.86%
17:17
0
L
W
D
L
W
2.43
1.21
1.21
64%
57%
21%
12
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
14
1
4
9
7
16.67%
7:33
-26
L
D
L
L
L
2.86
0.5
2.36
57%
50%
43%
Incheon United
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
14
games
5
wins
36%
3
draws
21%
6
losses
43%
1.29
Points per game
18 (42.86%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
2
wins
29%
0
draws
0%
5
losses
71%
0.86
Points per game
6 (28.57%)
Total points
Gwangju FC
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
14
games
1
wins
7%
4
draws
29%
9
losses
64%
0.5
Points per game
7 (16.67%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
0
wins
0%
2
draws
29%
5
losses
71%
0.29
Points per game
2 (9.52%)
Total points
Incheon United
Incheon United
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
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1
▸ 2
1
1
W
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▸ 1
0
0
0
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0
1
0
1
L
2026-05-05
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0
0
0
D
2026-05-09
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Incheon United Incheon United
0
▸ 3
0
2
W
2026-05-12
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Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers
0
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 1.5
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 0.5
Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very bad
2026-04-22
K League 1
Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
1
0
1
0
L
2026-04-26
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Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
FC Anyang FC Anyang
2
5
0
3
L
2026-05-02
K League 1
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
0
5
0
2
L
2026-05-05
K League 1
Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
4
0
1
0
L
2026-05-09
K League 1
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
Gangwon FC Gangwon FC
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-12
K League 1
Gwangju FC Gwangju FC
FC Seoul FC Seoul
0
1
0
0
L
Goals per match: 3
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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