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Match statistics: AD Ceuta FC - Malaga
Spain / Segunda División - Round 40
14:15, May 16, 2026
AD Ceuta FC
1
:
4
First half 0:3
Malaga
Match finished
1
3.65
X
3.7
2
1.9
Math prediction: 1X — 1.85
(Chupe)
J. Munoz
4'
(R. Rodriguez)
Chupe
13'
34'
M. Illescas
(R. Rodriguez)
Chupe
43'
48'
I. Schor
52'
E. Galilea
(own goal)
A. Ochoa
64'
77'
M. Fernandez Sanchez
77'
Y. Bodiger
A. Ochoa
82'
D. Brasanac
84'
Match prediction AD Ceuta FC - Malaga
Match outcome
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
59%
Total Under 3.5
71%
xG for the team (Home)
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Malaga
Malaga
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Malaga Malaga
Malaga Malaga   power × 1.04 times greater   51%
Malaga Malaga   better at attack   71%
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC   better at defence   69%
Team comparison
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Malaga Malaga
Recent form
44%
56%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
52%
48%
Team power
49%
51%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Segunda División - Round 40
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Malaga Malaga
39
19
9
11
66
56.41%
68:50
+18
W
W
L
L
W
3.03
1.74
1.28
77%
62%
31%
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
39
15
10
14
55
47.01%
47:59
-12
D
W
D
D
D
2.72
1.21
1.51
74%
56%
26%
AD Ceuta FC
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
39
games
15
wins
38%
10
draws
26%
14
losses
36%
1.41
Points per game
55 (47.01%)
Total points
Home games
19
games
11
wins
58%
4
draws
21%
4
losses
21%
1.95
Points per game
37 (64.91%)
Total points
Malaga
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
39
games
19
wins
49%
9
draws
23%
11
losses
28%
1.69
Points per game
66 (56.41%)
Total points
Away games
19
games
7
wins
37%
3
draws
16%
9
losses
47%
1.26
Points per game
24 (42.11%)
Total points
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-05
Segunda División
Eibar Eibar
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
3
0
1
0
L
2026-04-10
Segunda División
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
0
0
0
0
D
2026-04-18
Segunda División
Zaragoza Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
2
2
0
1
D
2026-04-26
Segunda División
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander Racing Santander
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-03
Segunda División
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
1
▸ 2
1
2
W
2026-05-09
Segunda División
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Castellón Castellón
1
1
0
0
D
Goals per match: 2
Goals 1st time: 0.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
Malaga
Malaga
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-04
Segunda División
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga Malaga
1
1
0
0
D
2026-04-11
Segunda División
Malaga Malaga
Las Palmas Las Palmas
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2026-04-19
Segunda División
Almeria Almeria
Malaga Malaga
3
2
0
0
L
2026-04-25
Segunda División
Malaga Malaga
Castellón Castellón
2
3
1
1
L
2026-05-02
Segunda División
Eibar Eibar
Malaga Malaga
2
▸ 4
2
1
W
2026-05-09
Segunda División
Malaga Malaga
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
Goals per match: 3.83
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 2.83
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