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Match statistics: Krasnodar - Orenburg
Russia / Premier League - Round 30
15:00, May 17, 2026
Krasnodar
3
:
0
First half 1:0
Orenburg
Match finished
1
1.38
X
5.55
2
7.8
Math prediction: 1 — 1.38
D. Khotulev
15'
36'
K. Lenini
(G. Gonzalez)
40'
J. Cordoba
J. Thompson
40'
63'
J. Cordoba
(Joao Batxi)
J. Palacios
74'
88'
E. Spertsyan
Match prediction Krasnodar - Orenburg
Match outcome
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
win
Goals / Match
2.6
Total Over 2.5
48%
Total Under 3.5
74%
xG for the team (Home)
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
expected 2 - 3 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Orenburg
Orenburg
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Krasnodar Krasnodar
Orenburg Orenburg
Krasnodar Krasnodar   power × 1.88 times greater   65.4%
Krasnodar Krasnodar   better at attack   62%
Orenburg Orenburg   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
Krasnodar Krasnodar
Orenburg Orenburg
Recent form
53%
47%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
88%
13%
Poisson distribution [1]
79%
21%
Team power
65.4%
34.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premier League - Round 30
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
2
Krasnodar Krasnodar
29
19
6
4
63
72.41%
57:23
+34
L
W
W
W
D
2.76
1.97
0.79
79%
55%
21%
11
Orenburg Orenburg
29
7
8
14
29
33.33%
29:41
-12
W
L
W
W
L
2.41
1
1.41
59%
41%
31%
Krasnodar
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
29
games
19
wins
66%
6
draws
21%
4
losses
14%
2.17
Points per game
63 (72.41%)
Total points
Home games
14
games
11
wins
79%
1
draws
7%
2
losses
14%
2.43
Points per game
34 (80.95%)
Total points
Orenburg
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
29
games
7
wins
24%
8
draws
28%
14
losses
48%
1
Points per game
29 (33.33%)
Total points
Away games
14
games
2
wins
14%
3
draws
21%
9
losses
64%
0.64
Points per game
9 (21.43%)
Total points
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
Latest six matches
Latest form:
good
2026-04-12
Premier League
Zenit Saint-Petersburg Zenit Saint-Petersburg
Krasnodar Krasnodar
1
1
1
0
D
2026-04-19
Premier League
Krasnodar Krasnodar
Baltika Baltika
2
2
0
1
D
2026-04-23
Premier League
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Krasnodar Krasnodar
1
▸ 2
1
1
W
2026-04-26
Premier League
Krasnodar Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2026-05-03
Premier League
Akron Akron
Krasnodar Krasnodar
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2026-05-11
Premier League
Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow
Krasnodar Krasnodar
2
1
0
1
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Orenburg
Orenburg
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-11
Premier League
Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan
Orenburg Orenburg
0
0
0
0
D
2026-04-18
Premier League
Orenburg Orenburg
Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow
0
1
0
0
L
2026-04-22
Premier League
Orenburg Orenburg
FC Nizhny Novgorod FC Nizhny Novgorod
▸ 2
1
0
1
W
2026-04-25
Premier League
FC Rostov FC Rostov
Orenburg Orenburg
0
▸ 1
0
0
W
2026-05-03
Premier League
PFC Sochi PFC Sochi
Orenburg Orenburg
3
1
2
0
L
2026-05-10
Premier League
Orenburg Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 1.67
Goals 1st time: 0.67
Goals 2nd time: 1
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