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Match statistics: BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United
Latvia / Virsliga - Round 14
15:00, May 21, 2026
BFC Daugavpils
3
:
1
First half 2:0
Ogre United
Match finished
1
1.44
X
4.2
2
6.25
Math prediction: 1X — 1.06
41'
W. Mukwelle
(penalty)
45'
R. Ndjiki
59'
A. Garzha
(R. Ndjiki)
(E. Sprukts)
M. Pacepko
77'
90+3'
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
Match prediction BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United
Match outcome
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
win or draw
Goals / Match
3
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
65%
xG for the team (Home)
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Ogre United
Ogre United
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils   power × 1.65 times greater   62.3%
Ogre United Ogre United   better at attack   67%
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils   better at defence   69%
Team comparison
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United Ogre United
Recent form
100%
0%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
67%
33%
Poisson distribution [1]
80%
20%
Team power
62.3%
37.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Virsliga - Round 14
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
13
4
2
7
14
35.9%
15:21
-6
L
L
L
D
L
2.77
1.15
1.62
69%
46%
31%
10
Ogre United Ogre United
13
0
3
10
3
7.69%
11:32
-21
L
L
L
L
L
3.31
0.85
2.46
85%
54%
38%
BFC Daugavpils
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
13
games
4
wins
31%
2
draws
15%
7
losses
54%
1.08
Points per game
14 (35.9%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
3
wins
43%
0
draws
0%
4
losses
57%
1.29
Points per game
9 (42.86%)
Total points
Ogre United
Points and results
Segment table:
5
All games
13
games
0
wins
0%
3
draws
23%
10
losses
77%
0.23
Points per game
3 (7.69%)
Total points
Away games
6
games
0
wins
0%
0
draws
0%
6
losses
100%
0
Points per game
0 (0%)
Total points
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very bad
2026-04-21
Virsliga
Tukums Tukums
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
1
1
0
0
D
2026-04-27
Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova Super Nova
0
1
0
0
L
2026-05-02
Virsliga
Grobiņa Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
1
1
0
0
D
2026-05-08
Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Riga Riga
1
3
0
1
L
2026-05-13
Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
0
1
0
1
L
2026-05-17
Virsliga
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
2
1
1
0
L
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 0.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
Ogre United
Ogre United
Latest six matches
Latest form:
very bad
2026-04-22
Virsliga
Riga Riga
Ogre United Ogre United
4
0
2
0
L
2026-04-27
Virsliga
Ogre United Ogre United
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
0
1
0
0
L
2026-05-02
Virsliga
Ogre United Ogre United
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
3
4
3
2
L
2026-05-07
Virsliga
Tukums Tukums
Ogre United Ogre United
6
1
2
0
L
2026-05-12
Virsliga
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
Ogre United Ogre United
4
1
1
0
L
2026-05-16
Virsliga
Super Nova Super Nova
Ogre United Ogre United
3
1
2
1
L
Goals per match: 4.67
Goals 1st time: 2.17
Goals 2nd time: 2.5
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