EN
Match statistics: Fiorentina - Atalanta
Italy / Serie A - Round 38
18:45, May 22, 2026
Fiorentina
1
:
1
First half 1:0
Atalanta
Match finished
1
2.54
X
3.55
2
2.54
Math prediction: X2 — 1.48
39'
R. Piccoli
(M. Brescianini)
K. Sulemana
47'
H. Ahanor
60'
(own goal)
P. Comuzzo
82'
Match prediction Fiorentina - Atalanta
Match outcome
Atalanta
Atalanta
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
45%
Total Under 3.5
78%
xG for the team (Home)
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
expected 0 - 1 goal
xG for the team (Away)
Atalanta
Atalanta
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Atalanta Atalanta
Atalanta Atalanta   power × 1.25 times greater   55.5%
Atalanta Atalanta   better at attack   67%
Fiorentina Fiorentina   better at defence   58%
Team comparison
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Atalanta Atalanta
Recent form
55%
45%
H2H strength
40%
60%
Goal realization
39%
61%
Poisson distribution [1]
42%
58%
Team power
44.5%
55.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 38
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
7
Atalanta Atalanta
37
15
13
9
58
52.25%
50:35
+15
L
W
D
L
D
2.3
1.35
0.95
73%
38%
19%
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
37
9
14
14
41
36.94%
40:49
-9
W
D
L
D
D
2.41
1.08
1.32
70%
51%
24%
Fiorentina
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
37
games
9
wins
24%
14
draws
38%
14
losses
38%
1.11
Points per game
41 (36.94%)
Total points
Home games
18
games
4
wins
22%
8
draws
44%
6
losses
33%
1.11
Points per game
20 (37.04%)
Total points
Atalanta
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
37
games
15
wins
41%
13
draws
35%
9
losses
24%
1.57
Points per game
58 (52.25%)
Total points
Away games
18
games
6
wins
33%
7
draws
39%
5
losses
28%
1.39
Points per game
25 (46.3%)
Total points
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-16
UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2026-04-20
Serie A
Lecce Lecce
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1
1
0
1
D
2026-04-26
Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Sassuolo Sassuolo
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-04
Serie A
AS Roma AS Roma
Fiorentina Fiorentina
4
0
3
0
L
2026-05-10
Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-17
Serie A
Juventus Juventus
Fiorentina Fiorentina
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
Goals per match: 1.83
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 0.67
Atalanta
Atalanta
Latest six matches
Latest form:
bad
2026-04-11
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Juventus Juventus
0
1
0
0
L
2026-04-18
Serie A
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
1
1
1
1
D
2026-04-27
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Atalanta Atalanta
3
2
2
2
L
2026-05-02
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Genoa Genoa
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-10
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
2
▸ 3
0
2
W
2026-05-17
Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
Bologna Bologna
0
1
0
0
L
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.33
Goals 2nd time: 1
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