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Match statistics: AC Milan - Cagliari
Italy / Serie A - Round 38
18:45, May 24, 2026
AC Milan
1
:
2
First half 1:1
Cagliari
Match finished
1
1.29
X
5
2
10.75
Math prediction: 1X — 1.05
2'
A. Saelemaekers
(S. Gimenez)
J. Pedro
2'
G. Borrelli
20'
56'
S. Pavlovic
J. Rodriguez
57'
58'
M. Maignan
I. Sulemana
90+6'
Match prediction AC Milan - Cagliari
Match outcome
AC Milan
AC Milan
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.4
Total Over 2.5
46%
Total Under 3.5
81%
xG for the team (Home)
AC Milan
AC Milan
expected 1 - 2 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Cagliari
Cagliari
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
AC Milan AC Milan
Cagliari Cagliari
AC Milan AC Milan   power × 1.72 times greater   63.2%
Teams even at power
AC Milan AC Milan   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
AC Milan AC Milan
Cagliari Cagliari
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
85%
15%
Goal realization
70%
30%
Poisson distribution [1]
67%
33%
Team power
63.2%
36.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Serie A - Round 38
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
3
AC Milan AC Milan
37
20
10
7
70
63.06%
52:33
+19
W
L
L
D
W
2.3
1.41
0.89
65%
43%
19%
16
Cagliari Cagliari
37
10
10
17
40
36.04%
38:52
-14
W
L
D
W
L
2.43
1.03
1.41
76%
49%
19%
AC Milan
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
37
games
20
wins
54%
10
draws
27%
7
losses
19%
1.89
Points per game
70 (63.06%)
Total points
Home games
18
games
9
wins
50%
5
draws
28%
4
losses
22%
1.78
Points per game
32 (59.26%)
Total points
Cagliari
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
37
games
10
wins
27%
10
draws
27%
17
losses
46%
1.08
Points per game
40 (36.04%)
Total points
Away games
18
games
3
wins
17%
6
draws
33%
9
losses
50%
0.83
Points per game
15 (27.78%)
Total points
AC Milan
AC Milan
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-11
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Udinese Udinese
0
3
0
2
L
2026-04-19
Serie A
Verona Verona
AC Milan AC Milan
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-04-26
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Juventus Juventus
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-03
Serie A
Sassuolo Sassuolo
AC Milan AC Milan
2
0
1
0
L
2026-05-10
Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
2
3
0
2
L
2026-05-17
Serie A
Genoa Genoa
AC Milan AC Milan
1
▸ 2
0
0
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Cagliari
Cagliari
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-04-11
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Cremonese Cremonese
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-04-17
Serie A
Inter Milan Inter Milan
Cagliari Cagliari
3
0
0
0
L
2026-04-27
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Atalanta Atalanta
▸ 3
2
2
2
W
2026-05-03
Serie A
Bologna Bologna
Cagliari Cagliari
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-09
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Udinese Udinese
0
2
0
0
L
2026-05-17
Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
Torino Torino
▸ 2
1
2
1
W
Goals per match: 2.33
Goals 1st time: 1.17
Goals 2nd time: 1.17
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