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Match statistics: Derry City - Waterford FC
Ireland / Premier Division - Round 23
18:45, July 03, 2026
Derry City
2
:
4
First half 0:1
Waterford FC
Match finished
1
1.43
X
4.33
2
7.1
Math prediction: 1X — 1.09
13'
C. Barr
(penalty)
T. Lonergan
14'
67'
P. McClean
T. Lonergan
69'
B. Couto
74'
(H. Cann)
P. Amond
77'
82'
R. Slevin
(M. Duffy)
85'
A. O'Reilly
(C. Dummigan)
(T. Lonergan)
J. Voilas
90+2'
Match prediction Derry City - Waterford FC
Match outcome
Derry City
Derry City
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.8
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
67%
xG for the team (Home)
Derry City
Derry City
expected 2 - 3 goals
xG for the team (Away)
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Derry City Derry City
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Derry City Derry City   power × 1.53 times greater   60.5%
Waterford FC Waterford FC   better at attack   55%
Derry City Derry City   better at defence   60%
Team comparison
Derry City Derry City
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Recent form
50%
50%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
64%
36%
Poisson distribution [1]
73%
27%
Team power
60.5%
39.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premier Division - Round 23
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
6
Derry City Derry City
24
6
11
7
29
40.28%
30:27
+3
W
D
L
W
L
2.38
1.25
1.13
67%
50%
25%
10
Waterford FC Waterford FC
22
3
8
11
17
25.76%
28:44
-16
W
L
W
D
L
3.27
1.27
2
86%
50%
41%
Derry City
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
24
games
6
wins
25%
11
draws
46%
7
losses
29%
1.21
Points per game
29 (40.28%)
Total points
Home games
12
games
5
wins
42%
5
draws
42%
2
losses
17%
1.67
Points per game
20 (55.56%)
Total points
Waterford FC
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
22
games
3
wins
14%
8
draws
36%
11
losses
50%
0.77
Points per game
17 (25.76%)
Total points
Away games
11
games
1
wins
9%
2
draws
18%
8
losses
73%
0.45
Points per game
5 (15.15%)
Total points
Derry City
Derry City
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-05-25
Premier Division
Derry City Derry City
Shelbourne Shelbourne
0
0
0
0
D
2026-05-29
Premier Division
Dundalk Dundalk
Derry City Derry City
2
1
1
0
L
2026-06-12
Premier Division
Derry City Derry City
Bohemians Bohemians
▸ 4
1
1
1
W
2026-06-19
Premier Division
Galway United Galway United
Derry City Derry City
2
1
1
0
L
2026-06-22
Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Derry City Derry City
1
1
0
1
D
2026-06-26
Premier Division
Derry City Derry City
Drogheda United Drogheda United
▸ 2
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 2.5
Goals 1st time: 1
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
Latest six matches
Latest form:
normal
2026-05-18
Premier Division
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Drogheda United Drogheda United
▸ 2
1
1
1
W
2026-05-22
Premier Division
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Waterford FC Waterford FC
2
1
1
1
L
2026-05-29
Premier Division
Drogheda United Drogheda United
Waterford FC Waterford FC
3
3
1
2
D
2026-06-12
Premier Division
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
▸ 4
0
1
0
W
2026-06-19
Premier Division
Waterford FC Waterford FC
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
0
2
0
1
L
2026-06-26
Premier Division
Dundalk Dundalk
Waterford FC Waterford FC
2
▸ 3
2
1
W
Goals per match: 3.83
Goals 1st time: 2
Goals 2nd time: 1.83
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