EN
Match statistics: Caen - Bastia
France / National 1 - Round 4
18:45, August 27, 2026
Caen
0
:
1
First half 0:1
Bastia
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3.3
2
3
Math prediction: 1 — 2.2
(F. Tomi)
C. Rodrigues
3'
27'
J. Kimboma
C. Melieres
45'
45'
D. Bolumbu
I. Monnier
61'
L. Belal
74'
90+6'
D. Appiah
Match prediction Caen - Bastia
Match outcome
Caen
Caen
win
Goals / Match
3.3
Total Over 2.5
50%
Total Under 3.5
50%
Home goals prediction
Caen
Caen
expected 2 - 3 goals
Away goals prediction
Bastia
Bastia
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Caen Caen
Bastia Bastia
Caen Caen   power × 2.23 times greater   69%
Caen Caen   better at attack   73%
Caen Caen   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Caen Caen
Bastia Bastia
Recent form
67%
33%
H2H strength
80%
20%
Goal realization
69%
31%
Poisson distribution [1]
0%
0%
Team power
69%
31%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: National 1 - Round 4
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
4
Caen Caen
3
2
0
1
6
66.67%
8:4
+4
W
L
W
4
2.67
1.33
67%
67%
67%
12
Bastia Bastia
3
1
0
2
3
33.33%
3:5
-2
L
W
L
2.67
1
1.67
67%
33%
33%
Caen
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
3
games
2
wins
67%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
33%
2
Points per game
6 (66.67%)
Total points
Home games
2
games
2
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
6 (100%)
Total points
Bastia
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
3
games
1
wins
33%
0
draws
0%
2
losses
67%
1
Points per game
3 (33.33%)
Total points
Away games
1
game
1
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
3 (100%)
Total points
Caen
Caen
Recent matches: 3
Latest form:
good
All competitions · season 2026
2026-08-07
National 1
Caen Caen
Valenciennes Valenciennes
▸ 4
0
2
0
W
2026-08-14
National 1
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
Caen Caen
4
3
1
2
L
2026-08-20
National 1
Caen Caen
Aubagne Aubagne
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
Goals per match: 4
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 2.33
Bastia
Bastia
Recent matches: 3
Latest form:
bad
All competitions · season 2026
2026-08-07
National 1
Bastia Bastia
Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot
0
2
0
1
L
2026-08-14
National 1
Aubagne Aubagne
Bastia Bastia
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
2026-08-20
National 1
Bastia Bastia
Versailles Versailles
2
3
1
2
L
Goals per match: 2.67
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 1
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