2026-09-15 Super Nova - Riga match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Super Nova - Riga

Super Nova

Latvia / Virsliga - Round 24

16:00, September 15, 2026

First half 0:0

Riga

Match finished

8.5

1.25

3.5

1.06

Math prediction: 2 — 1.25

20'

R. Iida

35'

E. Emsis

M. Tonisevs

49'

Reginaldo Ramires

51'

59'

R. Kirss

A. Cernomordijs

61'

M. Badamosi

85'

S. Oulad M'Hand

90'

(R. Jurkovskis)

M. Badamosi

90+1'

Match prediction Super Nova - Riga

Match outcome

Riga

win

Goals / Match

3.2

2.5+

67%

-3.5

63%

xG for the team (Home)

Super Nova

expected 0 - 1 goal

xG for the team (Away)

Riga

expected 3 goals and more

Trends

Outcomes

Super Nova hasn't any defeat the 1st half 8 matches in a row, 6 of them home

Riga hasn't any defeat the 1st half 5 matches in a row, 1 of them away

Riga hasn't any defeat 27 matches in a row, 11 of them away

Goals

Super Nova in 25 of 28 matches has played under 3.5

Riga in 26 of 28 matches has played over 1.5

Riga has goals for in 8 latest matches, 0.79 on average

Riga has goals for in 27 of 28 matches, 2.93 on average

Riga in 23 of 28 matches has played over 2.5

Tournament chart

Super Nova

Riga

Riga power × 1.59 times greater 61.4%

Riga better at attack 75%

Super Nova better at defence 77%

Team comparison

Super Nova

Riga

Recent form

57%

43%

H2H strength

100%

Goal realization

17%

83%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

17%

83%

Team power

38.6%

61.4%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: Virsliga - Round 24

Riga

77.01%

84:30

+54

3.93

2.9

1.03

93%

83%

62%

Super Nova

41.67%

29:38

-9

2.39

1.04

1.36

75%

50%

11%

Super Nova

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

36%

draws

18%

losses

46%

games

wins

21%

draws

21%

losses

57%

Riga

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

69%

draws

24%

losses

games

wins

62%

draws

23%

losses

15%

2.08

Points per game

27 (69.23%)

Total points

Super Nova

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-07-06

Virsliga

Super Nova

Ogre United

2026-07-20

Virsliga

Super Nova

Grobiņa

▸ 2

2026-08-09

Virsliga

Super Nova

FK Liepaja

2026-08-22

Virsliga

Super Nova

BFC Daugavpils

2026-09-05

Virsliga

FS Jelgava

Super Nova

▸ 1

2026-09-10

Virsliga

Super Nova

Tukums

▸ 1

Goals per match: 1.67

Goals 1st time: 0.17

Goals 2nd time: 1.5

Riga

Latest six matches

Latest form:

good

2026-07-18

Virsliga

Riga

Tukums

▸ 3

2026-08-02

Virsliga

Riga

Grobiņa

▸ 4

2026-08-09

Virsliga

Riga

Ogre United

▸ 4

2026-08-23

Virsliga

Rīgas FS

Riga

2026-09-07

Virsliga

Riga

BFC Daugavpils

2026-09-11

Virsliga

Riga

Auda

Goals per match: 4.17

Goals 1st time: 1.33

Goals 2nd time: 2.83

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