2026-09-15 Worthing - AFC Hornchurch match analysis, tips and predictions.

Match statistics: Worthing - AFC Hornchurch

Worthing

England / National League - Round 8

18:45, September 15, 2026

First half 1:0

AFC Hornchurch

Match finished

2.15

3.4

2.9

1.36

1.6

Math prediction: 1X — 1.36

R. Aguiar

(C. Kendall)

H. Sandat

45'

A. Rowe

50'

58'

R. Aguiar

J. Kizzi

89'

Match prediction Worthing - AFC Hornchurch

Match outcome

Worthing

win or draw

Goals / Match

3.4

2.5+

79%

-3.5

50%

xG for the team (Home)

Worthing

expected 2 - 3 goals

xG for the team (Away)

AFC Hornchurch

expected 1 - 2 goals

Trends

Outcomes

Goals

Worthing in 4 of 5 matches has played over 2.5

Worthing has goals for in 5 of 5 matches, 1.8 on average

Worthing has goals for every match, 1.8 on average

Worthing in 4 of 5 matches both team has goals for

Worthing missed goals in 4 of 5 matches, 1.6 on average

AFC Hornchurch in 4 of 5 matches has played over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch missed goals in 4 of 5 matches, 1.8 on average

AFC Hornchurch in 4 of 5 matches has played under 3.5

Tournament chart

Worthing

AFC Hornchurch

Worthing power × 1.11 times greater 52.7%

Worthing better at attack 64%

Teams even at defence

Team comparison

Worthing

AFC Hornchurch

Recent form

45%

55%

H2H strength

38%

62%

Goal realization

64%

36%

Poisson distribution ^[1]

55%

45%

Team power

52.7%

47.3%

[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.

The position of the teams: National League - Round 8

AFC Hornchurch

57.14%

10:11

-1

1.43

1.57

71%

29%

Worthing

38.1%

13:14

-1

3.86

1.86

86%

71%

Worthing

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

29%

draws

29%

losses

43%

games

wins

25%

draws

25%

losses

50%

AFC Hornchurch

Points and results

Segment table:

games

wins

57%

draws

losses

43%

games

wins

50%

draws

losses

50%

Worthing

Latest six matches

Latest form:

normal

2026-08-08

National League

Carlisle United

Worthing

▸ 3

2026-08-15

National League

Worthing

Forest Green

2026-08-22

National League

Worthing

Wealdstone

▸ 1

2026-09-05

National League

AFC Fylde

Worthing

2026-09-12

National League

Worthing

Barrow

Goals per match: 3.4

Goals 1st time: 1.2

Goals 2nd time: 2.2

AFC Hornchurch

Latest six matches

Latest form:

bad

2026-08-08

National League

AFC Hornchurch

Kidderminster Harriers

▸ 3

2026-08-15

National League

Barrow

AFC Hornchurch

▸ 2

2026-08-22

National League

Carlisle United

AFC Hornchurch

2026-09-05

National League

AFC Hornchurch

Forest Green

2026-09-12

National League

FC Halifax Town

AFC Hornchurch

Goals per match: 3

Goals 1st time: 1.2

Goals 2nd time: 1.8

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