EN
Match statistics: Burnley - Derby County
England / Championship - Round 8
14:00, September 19, 2026
Burnley
1
:
1
First half 1:0
Derby County
Match finished
1
1.85
X
3.4
2
4
Math prediction: 1X — 1.22
31'
Igor Júlio
34'
Zeki Amdouni
(Lucas Pires Silva)
56'
Anel Ahmedhodzic
D. Ozoh
67'
68'
Josh Laurent
86'
Ugo Raghouber
Corey Blackett-Taylor
87'
(Rhian Brewster)
Mohammed Fuseini
90+3'
Match prediction Burnley - Derby County
Match outcome
Burnley
Burnley
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.1
Total Over 2.5
71%
Total Under 3.5
64%
Home goals prediction
Burnley
Burnley
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 0 - 1 goal
Tournament chart
Burnley Burnley
Derby County Derby County
Burnley Burnley   power × 1.39 times greater   58.2%
Burnley Burnley   better at attack   63%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   55%
Team comparison
Burnley Burnley
Derby County Derby County
Recent form
40%
60%
H2H strength
75%
25%
Goal realization
75%
25%
Poisson distribution [1]
51%
49%
Team power
58.2%
42%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 8
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
22
Derby County Derby County
7
1
1
5
4
19.05%
6:13
-7
L
L
L
W
L
2.71
0.86
1.86
86%
71%
14%
24
Burnley Burnley
7
0
3
4
3
14.29%
8:16
-8
L
D
L
D
L
3.43
1.14
2.29
100%
71%
57%
Burnley
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
7
games
0
wins
0%
3
draws
43%
4
losses
57%
0.43
Points per game
3 (14.29%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
0
wins
0%
2
draws
67%
1
losses
33%
0.67
Points per game
2 (22.22%)
Total points
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
7
games
1
wins
14%
1
draws
14%
5
losses
71%
0.57
Points per game
4 (19.05%)
Total points
Away games
3
games
1
wins
33%
0
draws
0%
2
losses
67%
1
Points per game
3 (33.33%)
Total points
Burnley
Burnley
Recent matches: 5
Latest form:
very bad
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D
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1
1
1
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Bristol City Bristol City
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1
0
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Swansea City Swansea City
Burnley Burnley
3
1
2
0
L
Goals per match: 3.4
Goals 1st time: 1.2
Goals 2nd time: 2.2
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 5
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2026
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Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Derby County Derby County
2
1
0
1
L
2026-08-22
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Cardiff City Cardiff City
2
2
1
2
D
2026-09-05
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Derby County Derby County
3
0
1
0
L
2026-09-09
Championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
0
1
0
1
L
2026-09-12
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
1
2
1
1
L
Goals per match: 2.8
Goals 1st time: 1.6
Goals 2nd time: 1.2
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