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Match statistics: Ayr United - Stenhousemuir
Scotland / Championship - Round 8
18:45, September 25, 2026
Ayr United
0
:
1
First half 0:1
Stenhousemuir
Match finished
1
2.2
X
3
2
3.25
Math prediction: X2 — 1.57
(S. Bright)
S. Young
20'
L. Grant
30'
M. Gillies
43'
50'
R. Taylor
A. Shinnie
51'
87'
K. Shanks
89'
N. McAllister
Match prediction Ayr United - Stenhousemuir
Match outcome
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
win or draw
Goals / Match
2
Total Over 2.5
14%
Total Under 3.5
86%
xG for the team (Home)
Ayr United
Ayr United
expected 0 - 1 goal
xG for the team (Away)
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
expected 1 - 2 goals
Tournament chart
Ayr United Ayr United
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir   power × 1.9 times greater   65.6%
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir   better at attack   67%
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir   better at defence   88%
Team comparison
Ayr United Ayr United
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Recent form
21%
79%
H2H strength
100%
0%
Goal realization
90%
10%
Poisson distribution [1]
16%
84%
Team power
34.6%
65.6%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 8
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
7
6
1
0
19
90.48%
11:2
+9
W
W
W
W
W
1.86
1.57
0.29
57%
14%
14%
6
Ayr United Ayr United
7
2
2
3
8
38.1%
7:8
-1
W
L
L
D
L
2.14
1
1.14
86%
14%
14%
Ayr United
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
7
games
2
wins
29%
2
draws
29%
3
losses
43%
1.14
Points per game
8 (38.1%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
1
wins
33%
1
draws
33%
1
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
4 (44.44%)
Total points
Stenhousemuir
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
7
games
6
wins
86%
1
draws
14%
0
losses
0%
2.71
Points per game
19 (90.48%)
Total points
Away games
3
games
2
wins
67%
1
draws
33%
0
losses
0%
2.33
Points per game
7 (77.78%)
Total points
Ayr United
Ayr United
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
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Ayr United Ayr United
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▸ 2
0
1
0
W
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Ayr United Ayr United
1
1
1
1
D
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Ayr United Ayr United
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0
2
0
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2026-09-05
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Ayr United Ayr United
1
0
1
0
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Ayr United Ayr United
Inverness CT Inverness CT
1
3
1
2
L
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Championship
Queen's Park Queen's Park
Ayr United Ayr United
0
▸ 2
0
1
W
Goals per match: 2.17
Goals 1st time: 1.67
Goals 2nd time: 0.5
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Recent matches: 5
Latest form:
very good
All competitions · season 2026
2026-08-01
Championship
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
1
1
1
1
D
2026-08-08
Championship
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Morton Morton
▸ 2
0
0
0
W
2026-08-22
Championship
Queen's Park Queen's Park
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
2026-09-15
Championship
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Partick Partick
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-09-19
Championship
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Arbroath Arbroath
▸ 1
0
1
0
W
Goals per match: 1.6
Goals 1st time: 0.6
Goals 2nd time: 1
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