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Match statistics: Qarabag - Neftchi Baku

Azerbaidjan / Premyer Liqa - Round 8
15:00, October 17, 2026
Qarabag
-
:
-
Neftchi Baku
1
n/a
X
n/a
2
n/a
Math prediction: 1X
Match prediction Qarabag - Neftchi Baku
Match outcome
Qarabag
Qarabag
win or draw
Goals / Match
2.9
Total Over 2.5
52%
Total Under 3.5
55%
Home goals prediction
Qarabag
Qarabag
expected 1 - 2 goals
Away goals prediction
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
expected 2 - 3 goals
Tournament chart
Qarabag Qarabag
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
Qarabag Qarabag   power × 1.51 times greater   60.2%
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku   better at attack   56%
Qarabag Qarabag   better at defence   57%
Team comparison
Qarabag Qarabag
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
Recent form
57%
43%
H2H strength
80%
20%
Goal realization
80%
20%
Poisson distribution [1]
43%
57%
Team power
60.2%
39.8%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premyer Liqa - Round 8
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
1
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
7
5
1
1
16
76.19%
18:5
+13
L
W
W
W
D
3.29
2.57
0.71
71%
71%
57%
3
Qarabag Qarabag
6
5
1
0
16
88.89%
11:4
+7
W
W
D
W
W
2.5
1.83
0.67
67%
33%
33%
Qarabag
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
6
games
5
wins
83%
1
draws
17%
0
losses
0%
2.67
Points per game
16 (88.89%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
3
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
losses
0%
3
Points per game
9 (100%)
Total points
Neftchi Baku
Points and results
Segment table:
1
All games
7
games
5
wins
71%
1
draws
14%
1
losses
14%
2.29
Points per game
16 (76.19%)
Total points
Away games
4
games
3
wins
75%
0
draws
0%
1
losses
25%
2.25
Points per game
9 (75%)
Total points
Qarabag
Qarabag
Recent matches: 2
Latest form:
limited data
All competitions · season 2026
2026-09-18
Premyer Liqa
Qarabag Qarabag
Safa Baku Safa Baku
▸ 1
0
0
0
W
2026-10-11
Premyer Liqa
Mil-Muğan Mil-Muğan
Qarabag Qarabag
0
▸ 2
0
0
W
Goals per match: 1.5
Goals 1st time: 0
Goals 2nd time: 1.5
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
Recent matches: 2
Latest form:
limited data
All competitions · season 2026
2026-09-18
Premyer Liqa
Qabala Qabala
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
0
▸ 3
0
1
W
2026-10-09
Premyer Liqa
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
Sabah FA Sabah FA
0
0
0
0
D
Goals per match: 1.5
Goals 1st time: 0.5
Goals 2nd time: 1
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