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Match statistics: Newcastle United - Aston Villa

England / Premier League - Round 7
16:30, October 17, 2026
Newcastle United
-
:
-
Aston Villa
1
2.1
X
3.6
2
3.2
Math prediction: 1X — 1.36
Match prediction Newcastle United - Aston Villa
Match outcome
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
win or draw
Goals / Match
3.2
Total Over 2.5
74%
Total Under 3.5
45%
Home goals prediction
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
expected 2 - 3 goals
Away goals prediction
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
expected 1 - 2 goals
Trends
Outcomes
Newcastle United   Newcastle United had no defeats in 3 home matches
Aston Villa   Aston Villa hasn't any defeat the 1st half 5 matches in a row, 3 of them away
Aston Villa   Aston Villa hasn't any win the 2nd half 6 matches in the row, 4 of them away
Goals
Newcastle United   Newcastle United missed goals in 4 of 4 matches, 2.25 on average
Newcastle United   Newcastle United has goals for in 4 of 4 matches, 1.75 on average
Aston Villa   Aston Villa missed goals in 5 of 6 matches, 2 on average
Aston Villa   Aston Villa in 5 of 6 matches has played over 2.5
Tournament chart
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Newcastle United Newcastle United   power × 1.25 times greater   55.5%
Newcastle United Newcastle United   better at attack   60%
Aston Villa Aston Villa   better at defence   56%
Team comparison
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Recent form
62%
38%
H2H strength
50%
50%
Goal realization
50%
50%
Poisson distribution [1]
67%
33%
Team power
55.5%
44.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Premier League - Round 7
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
11
Newcastle United Newcastle United
5
2
2
1
8
53.33%
9:9
0
D
W
D
L
W
3.6
1.8
1.8
100%
80%
60%
15
Aston Villa Aston Villa
6
1
2
3
5
27.78%
6:11
-5
L
D
L
W
D
2.83
1
1.83
67%
67%
50%
Newcastle United
Points and results
Segment table:
3
All games
5
games
2
wins
40%
2
draws
40%
1
losses
20%
1.6
Points per game
8 (53.33%)
Total points
Home games
3
games
1
wins
33%
2
draws
67%
0
losses
0%
1.67
Points per game
5 (55.56%)
Total points
Aston Villa
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
6
games
1
wins
17%
2
draws
33%
3
losses
50%
0.83
Points per game
5 (27.78%)
Total points
Away games
3
games
1
wins
33%
1
draws
33%
1
losses
33%
1.33
Points per game
4 (44.44%)
Total points
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Recent matches: 4
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
2026-08-23
Premier League
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Liverpool Liverpool
2
2
1
0
D
2026-09-05
Premier League
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
2
2
1
2
D
2026-09-14
Premier League
Leeds United Leeds United
Newcastle United Newcastle United
4
1
3
0
L
2026-09-19
Premier League
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Hull City Hull City
▸ 2
1
2
0
W
Goals per match: 4
Goals 1st time: 2.25
Goals 2nd time: 1.75
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
2026-08-23
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa Aston Villa
4
0
4
0
L
2026-09-05
Premier League
Hull City Hull City
Aston Villa Aston Villa
0
0
0
0
D
2026-09-08
UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
Aston Villa Aston Villa
2
▸ 3
1
3
W
2026-09-12
Premier League
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1
2
0
0
L
2026-09-19
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa Aston Villa
2
▸ 3
0
1
W
2026-10-10
Premier League
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Brentford Brentford
2
2
1
1
D
Goals per match: 3.5
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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