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Match statistics: Derby County - Bolton

England / Championship - Round 15
20:00, November 06, 2026
Derby County
-
:
-
Bolton
1
2.6
X
3.6
2
2.75
Math prediction: X2 — 1.53
Match prediction Derby County - Bolton
Match outcome
Bolton
Bolton
win or draw
Goals / Match
3
Total Over 2.5
59%
Total Under 3.5
66%
Home goals prediction
Derby County
Derby County
expected 0 - 1 goal
Away goals prediction
Bolton
Bolton
expected 1 - 2 goals
Trends
Outcomes
Derby County   Derby County hasn't any win the 2nd half 6 matches in the row, 3 of them home
Derby County   Derby County had no wins in 7 home matches
Derby County   Derby County hasn't any win 10 matches in a row, 5 of them at home
Goals
Derby County   Derby County missed goals in 13 of 14 matches, 2.07 on average
Derby County   Derby County has goals against in 10 latest matches, 2.2 on average
Derby County   Derby County in 12 of 14 matches has played over 1.5
Derby County   Derby County has goals against on home in 7 matches in a row, 2 on average
Tournament chart
Derby County Derby County
Bolton Bolton
Bolton Bolton   power × 1.06 times greater   51.5%
Bolton Bolton   better at attack   69%
Derby County Derby County   better at defence   58%
Team comparison
Derby County Derby County
Bolton Bolton
Recent form
30%
70%
H2H strength
71%
29%
Goal realization
73%
27%
Poisson distribution [1]
28%
72%
Team power
48.5%
51.5%
[1] - The Poisson distribution is a mathematical model that efficiently predicts the outcome of a match, taking into consideration tournament indicators of teams, head-to-head matches, the attacking and defensive potential of each team.
The position of the teams: Championship - Round 15
Pos.
Team
Games
W
D
L
P
P %
GF:GA
GD
Form
AVG
TT
OT
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
17
Bolton Bolton
14
5
2
7
17
40.48%
19:26
-7
W
D
L
L
W
3.21
1.36
1.86
67%
67%
50%
23
Derby County Derby County
14
1
4
9
7
16.67%
11:29
-18
L
L
D
L
L
2.86
0.79
2.07
83%
50%
17%
Derby County
Points and results
Segment table:
4
All games
14
games
1
wins
7%
4
draws
29%
9
losses
64%
0.5
Points per game
7 (16.67%)
Total points
Home games
7
games
0
wins
0%
2
draws
29%
5
losses
71%
0.29
Points per game
2 (9.52%)
Total points
Bolton
Points and results
Segment table:
2
All games
14
games
5
wins
36%
2
draws
14%
7
losses
50%
1.21
Points per game
17 (40.48%)
Total points
Away games
7
games
3
wins
43%
2
draws
29%
2
losses
29%
1.57
Points per game
11 (52.38%)
Total points
Derby County
Derby County
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
very bad
All competitions · season 2026
2026-10-10
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
1
1
1
0
D
2026-10-14
Championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Derby County Derby County
4
1
3
0
L
2026-10-17
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Stoke City Stoke City
0
1
0
0
L
2026-10-24
Championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Derby County Derby County
1
1
0
1
D
2026-10-31
Championship
Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
4
1
3
0
L
2026-11-03
Championship
Derby County Derby County
Norwich City Norwich City
0
4
0
3
L
Goals per match: 3.17
Goals 1st time: 1.83
Goals 2nd time: 1.33
Bolton
Bolton
Recent matches: 6
Latest form:
normal
All competitions · season 2026
2026-10-10
Championship
Bolton Bolton
Stoke City Stoke City
1
2
0
1
L
2026-10-13
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Bolton
1
▸ 3
0
1
W
2026-10-17
Championship
Southampton Southampton
Bolton Bolton
0
0
0
0
D
2026-10-23
Championship
Bolton Bolton
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1
5
1
3
L
2026-10-31
Championship
Bolton Bolton
Bristol City Bristol City
2
3
1
1
L
2026-11-03
Championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Bolton Bolton
0
▸ 1
0
1
W
Goals per match: 3.17
Goals 1st time: 1.5
Goals 2nd time: 1.67
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